Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT)
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- Henry: $MSFT you have to go back to June 2024 to find a higher high long long time.
- scottrades: $MSFT cutting 3% of all workers.
- marklesparkle: $MSFT I haven't seen anyone mention CoPilot which is what I've started to use when need be and it works fine for my use case which aint too much. I'll have to ask it about printers for the home Dan because everyone I have ever bought sucks and I use my Geek Squad Membership to help me install them because they are so damn hard to install or is it just me
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$MSFT -- tight flag on low volume. Bullish, but not a good setup. Holding the earnings gap.
$META -- recovering from pop and drop on earnings. BAck above the open. Light volume…me likee.
$NFLX -- Rockin’ to a new high.
$NVD ... - woodman: $MSFT continuation.
- joelsg1: $MSFT Rolled Friday's short covered $400 calls up/out for credits, sold the May $387.50 puts for peanuts and let the short puts wither on the expiration vine, so while my posted hedge put spreads didn't work, I actually made a net profit on the trade as the short calls paid for the put spreads and I received credits for the rollout , plus my shares up $37.
- joelsg1: @woodman $CRWV $MSFT and $META last night confirmed their capex here to stay and in $MSFT's case growing. $CRWV below it's reduced $40 IPO was a gift.
- joelsg1: $AMZN $AAPL Both report tonight and are far more exposed to China and tariffs than $META and $MSFT yesterday, those aided by a large short squeeze today with reported 31.5M short shares $META and 51M short shares $MSFT as of last NASDAQ reporting. Not playing either over E with implied moves of about $7 for $AAPL and $10.50 $AMZN. Legacy long $AAPL from way below.
- SamikRoy: @DAN Greetings. $MSFT is up by ~10%. It has breached the 400 mark and crossed 433 after a long time. Should one sell and book profits or continue holding as $MSFT may start forming new highs ?
- SamikRoy: @woodman $MSTX $MSTR But if we observe almost every stock has gone up post the earnings announcement e.g. $MSFT, $TSLA, $NFLX etc. Looking at the uptrend of $IBIT, $MSTX etc ... they should also gap up. It's also in the ATL of Dan
- woodman: @SamikRoy $MSTX $MSTR $MSFT $TSLA $NFLX $IBIT - Definitely possible. It's a matter of your risk tolerance and what you see as the risk-reward potential. I will hold some $MSTR through, but I won't bet the farm. At least for me, the pain of a loss is greater than the pleasure of a gain, all things being equal.
- kenb: @SamikRoy $MSFT everyone is different on that question, depending on their own trading style and vision. For me, a long-term investor, I'm holding with a current 6% gain.
- champ: @SamikRoy $MSTX $MSTR $MSFT $TSLA $NFLX $IBIT .....the play on $MSTX is, if you want to hold a position into their earnings report...........then you would need to Buy it back right before the close, after all the Traders have taken their profits.........
- DAN: @SamikRoy $MSFT Sorry for the late response Roy. I'd probably be selling some of the position...maybe all of it. It totally depends on your trading style and your purpose for being in the stock. If it's a long term hold,...well, I think this stock is going to sit here awhile and you'd better have some patience. If it is a shorter term trade, I'd do a Steve Miller exit and move on. Just my opinion, and opinions very. Hope it helps. Dan
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StockMarketMentor: ...
Microsoft ($MSFT) looks very similar to the S&P -- stalling at prior 4/9 resistance. They report after the bell today. Amazon ($AMZN) reports tomorrow. It's down about 2% pre-market. Amazon is expected to grow earnings by just about 12% this ... - joelsg1: $MSFT Gotta see what if anything is announced at today's cabinet meeting, esp. since there was a post this morning blaming today's stock market on Biden (ignoring that it more than doubled during his term), but $MSFT reports tonight, briefly crossed below the 50d earlier today and though I'm legacy long from $102 and short way otm covered calls, looking to further hedge. Implied move is about $15.25 so I'm eyeing the dreaded (for me) May $387.50 or $385 $10-wide put spreads, but as General Maximus said "Not yet".
- joelsg1: @joelsg1 $MSFT Opened May $387.50-377.50 put spreads.
- joelsg1: $MSFT Added 5/2 $387.50-377.50 put spreads. Also have the regular 5/16 put spreads for about same cost which covers ex-div date of 5/15 but these are Friday's so if stock drops post-E tonight and spreads fill I'll let them expire and take my 2.5 bagger.
- marklesparkle: @joelsg1 $MSFT So Im trying to get this. Is it a BuPS or vertical put spread
- joelsg1: @marklesparkle $MSFT Called a bearish put spread.
- marklesparkle: @joelsg1 $MSFT okay thank you
- joelsg1: $MSFT Sold a few Friday $400 covered calls into E tonight, basically covering premiums on put spreads posted earlier.
- joelsg1: @joelsg1 $MSFT Upside surprise 33% Azure growth, up ah above implied move strong through $405 resistance. So much for those put spreads, but good for shares. Will probably roll short covered upside calls tomorrow.
- marklesparkle: @joelsg1 $MSFT I tried a 1 lot not to worry
- TraderGeekSam: @champ $SPX I agree. I guess my post lacked context. My comment stemmed from the fact that when April closes positively, it portends good things for the rest of the year. When April is negative, the odds of having a strong rest of the year decrease (according to a few quantitative studies I've reviewed). That said, being the last day of the month, there was a lot of positioning at the close, so we have to take it with a grain of salt. The market was overly short on the opening and, in the end, excessively long on the closing. How much of a give-back we get tomorrow will be telling, but with positive reactions to $MSFT and $META earnings and the first-of-the-month inflows, the bulls have the edge.
- joelsg1: @marklesparkle $MSFT Hey, I post a lot of trades, and I make even more, and some don’t work out, but these were a hedge against long shares if the bottom fell out, which seems not to have happened, so I’ll take the gain.
- Cjauger: Will earnings power the market higher? Or will institutions use the rally to sell? $MSFT and $META both rocketing higher No one knows. Price will tell the story
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StockMarketMentor: ...
This week, several tech giants are set to report earnings, including Apple ($AAPL) Thursday, Amazon ($AMZN) tomorrow, Microsoft ($MSFT) tomorrow, and Meta Platforms ($META) Thursday. By the time the dust has settled, investors will know a lot more a ... - champ: $MAR is at $236, could watch for a possible Entry, LOD was at $234.07, however remember that all stocks need a #positive Market to work in. ....These will be reporting their earnings......... $META and $AMZN on Wednesday, ....$AAPL and $MSFT on Thursday....... ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
- joelsg1: $ZM Has a new AI companion tool for enterprises that seamlessly combines numerous AI functions, $MSFT has nothing even close. Stock has bounced 20% from everything low day 4/7 and regained the 50d. Long.
- Mikev200: $MSFT back above 50dma
- marklesparkle: And lets not forget $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT and $NVDA are in the DOW
- champ: $APPL $MSFT, ....Spec adds, I added to both this morning.
- champ: I'm not going to swing any ETF's and I'm not going to swing these either...$NFLX, $AAPL, $MSFT ....
- champ: @smentor $AAPL ....I posted that it was one of the largest winners on Friday, I think could add and Day-trade, with a Stop at Entry or around Entry...... ....I'm also holding $MSFT, that should also be in play, so could $DELL........... ....others could be $TSM and maybe all the other chip names.........
- champ: $COIN ..at $172.14a nd $MSFT at $383.88, both are new Spec positions for me this morning.
- champ: Day-trades....$SS0 $TQQQ $MSFT $COIN $RIOT $CLSK $BTU $VIK $CPA $KNF $EXP.....I did get Back-in these positions this morning........, ....because my odds are high for Bounce, at some point today........ and I'm going to try to hold until the close........ .....#if I can make it that far...... and if I do, then I might think about swinging something. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
- champ: $AAPL is the bigger % winner today, so far...$MSFT.
- champ: $MSFT...is looking positive but the early birds got the best entries.....
- Bert953: @champ $MSFT trying to reclaim the 8dEMA
- champ: @Bert953 $MSFT .....As we all know, Timings are the only thing that counts, in a Yo-Yo type of Market.....and for those who had entry-Timings, and if they had Entries that are holding,..... ....then if we get a huge Bounce, they will be the huge winners.... ..........and on ..... .....only a zig-zag bounce, they still will be Rewarded........, everything always depends on How good the Traders, can dance. .....However the main thing is always, our Entry Timings, the ones that can hold our Entries thru all of the zig-zags, as we #wait for the real-turn....... ......so the Bottom-line is, ........... our Entries have to be able to hold-up thru all of the zig-zags.....and all of mine are doing really well.
- champ: @vcondry $UDOW $SSO $TQQQ #Trump #take-time #Spring-loaded ....I was picking-up my Entries on the bottoms....#see my post on $MSFT, at 1:20 pm ET.....on how I was working my #Entry-Timings. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
- champ: $MSFT is up $27.
- billyzeke: @champ $MSFT $FNGA up 79 got a decent piece of that.
- champ: @billyzeke $SPY #CopyCat-sellers.... Nice and most all my Targets are my Existing-positions and I have a huge pile of Cash waiting........ ....even $AMZN, $META, $MSFT and also all the others, are being dumped by the small players. Good Luck!
- joelsg1: $GOOGL in the 1980s there was a low cost electronics store in NY called the Wiz whose tagline was "Nobody beats the Wiz". Ultimately, they expanded right into bankruptcy in the 1990s. Yesterday, $GOOGL announced a $32B deal to buy Israeli cybersecurity firm Wiz. Remains to be seen if the deal goes through (it should) as our Govt. is fighting $GOOGL in court seeking a breakup of search. Ball is in court of $MSFT and $AMZN to keep up, and the TAM is large and getting larger with more data and AI. Do not think this is a negative for $PANW and $CRWD.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
Need more convincing? Look at $META, $MSFT, $PLTR, $AMZN and $GOOGL. These are also ugly and under big selling pressure.
Remember that hope is a trading strategy. It's just not a good one.
--Dan
-Dan
- joelsg1: @billyzeke $NVDA Still strong $NVDA into E Wed. That $MSFT "news" this am supposedly cancelling 2 data center leases is "olds", but having desired effect. At LOD Implied move through Friday about $11.
- billyzeke: @joelsg1 $NVDA $MSFT Im still holding a smaller position because it could definitely still go higher just on the stregnth of it's reamaining hopper sales. I'm just concerned that if they report a hiccup with Blackwell production the market won't like it, SMCI and VRT's earning calls kind of suggested there could be some supply issues with it.
- joelsg1: @billyzeke $NVDA $MSFT All true but hopefully baked in. Guidance will be key and that could be sandbagged as always for 4QE and next year's guide. NVDA's fiscal year ended 1/31/25 so nearly 1 month in. Potential problem for most, but maybe not this one, is that it's attractive to mgmt to lowball the coming year so they will beat/raise, but NVDA's history is to beat/raise each Q so perhaps problem don't apply. And as I typed popped $4, so here's hoping.
- Ilovegolf: $MSFT. Started position yesterday added today.. yea kinda boring but safe for now
- traderbren: $MSFT $AAPL - getting a bid in this tape
- champ: @Ilovegolf $MSFT.....I'm also holding a position....
- Cjauger: @traderbren $MSFT $AAPL, $MSFT claims to have developed a quantum chip powered by an entirely new state of matter. This breakthrough could fast-track practical quantum computing- not in decades, but mere years
- woodman: @Henry $META - What Day is it for $AMZN $MSFT? Big guys getting smacked a bit.
- woodman: $MSFT bounce on news: https://news.microsoft.com/source/features/ai/microsofts-majorana-1-chip-carves-new-path-for-quantum-computing/
- joelsg1: @woodman $MSFT Seems like a big deal but then they say quantum computers in "years, not decades". As I used to say, Far out.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $MSFT - I agree.
- joelsg1: @woodman $SNOW Like the chart but don't really understand the business, they warehouse and rent out applications but operate on platforms, $AMZN, $GOOGL and $MSFT, with which they compete. Still, in with.
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StockMarketMentor: ...
$MSFT belongs in someone else's account.
$AAPL also belongs in someone else's account.
$META continues to run higher along the upper Bollinger Band. It's a strong stock!
$GOOGL is below the 50-day moving average and looking like dead mon ... - joelsg1: @StockMarketMentor $hit $MSFT $AAPL $META $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA $NFLX Suggestion: Get the monthly FSD subscription with your lease. Your back will thank you. Best
- billyzeke: $MSFT is trying to get off the mat today. I used the 3 day rule after the big earnings drop and bought some around 411.
- woodman: @debeers $AMZN They were losing share in cloud services to $MSFT but that may have changed. Cloud services becoming more important in delivering AI to the masses. Cap ex is big with all of them but DeepSeek may be an indication more can be done with less. That said, I tend to think the race is on and spending is going to continue massively.
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WhitePath: ...
$MSFT (last week): Growth is 12% is down. The specific growth in Cloud business is not growing fast with AI, only at 19%. Is the tens of billions investment in AI and Cloud helping?
The picture looks like the Cloud and AI business is growing but no ... - WhitePath: More on tech earnings summary ... $ARM: dropped afterhours after earnings report even as they have 19% growth in revenue (higher than prior quarter but still way off the highs). Business guidance seen as in-line, but if AI on end-user device is booming, they would have reported stronger future licensing obligation. Keep in mind $QCOM, $NVDA, $AAPL, $GOOGL, $MSFT, $AMZN all license $ARM. That is saying something. $QCOM: dropped afterhours after earnings report. Growth across the board but the expectation is higher and more in guidance. Growth in mobile is less than the overall business (13% vs 17%). This aligns with $ARM results. Looks like mobile phone buyers are not there to drive the mobile business growth. So far, the earnings have no upside surprises in all the major Semi-mobile-AI business. Will try to trade these name with more neutral strategy than previously more bullish approaches.
- joelsg1: $MSFT Trimmed, don't like E call for at least near term.
- scottrades: Good morning Team! Futures are up slightly following yesterday's FOMC and some big tech earnings reports from $MSFT, $TSLA, $MSTA, $IBM, $CAT, $TSCO, $NOW and others. It was also really interesting to hear Fed Chair Powell talk about how he had no pr ...
- SamikRoy: @scottrades $MSFT $TSLA $MSTA $IBM $CAT $TSCO $NOW $NFLX $NVDA $APP $WIX $IBIT $GDX Appreciate the early morning heads up @Scott. Noticed that you mentioned that we should watch for the bounce of $MSFT. Are you suggesting that we should add $MSFT in case it bounces ? Yesterday (tx to your suggestion) I sold of 1/2 my $MSFT stocks. The stock after hrs went down by $20. Happy to buy back in case you advice. $20/share is a notional profit in case I buy it back
- wijimmy: $MSFT … could be support and watching for bounce any where here… 200 day on weekly is $423.37 .. 50 day on daily is $424.69 200 day on the daily is $ 431.51
- scottrades: $MSFT trying to bounce. A buy here will need a stop at LOD. You'd want to be small.
- kenb: @scottrades $MSFT agreed, added small @ $418.87 on the dip.
- wijimmy: $NVDA , $NVDL …. looks like they are getting ready to test Monday and Tuesdays LOWS … $MSFT also testing days low … 401k’s not looking good today
- scottrades: Apparently we're not out of the blender just yet. Lots of whippy price action... $SPY $QQQ $MSFT
- PhilHarmonic: @scottrades $SPY $QQQ $MSFT That's good for the Wall of Worry!
- scottrades: Wow, OpenAI in Talks for Funding Round Valuing It Up to $340 Billion, Sources Say -- WSJ $MSFT
- joelsg1: @scottrades $MSFT $TSLA is the leading Real World AI company, nobody leap-frogging them like the LLMs or even close.
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Tightening up $QQQ Above the 50 Day $IWM Near the 50 Day $GLD New Highs $GDX Above the 200 Day $SMH At the 200 Day $XLF Trending up $IGV Needs to tighten up. $DXY Green on the day $TNX Lower High $TSLA Near the 50 Day $MSFT Worst day since 2022 $NVDA At the 200 Day $META Watch for a pullback $DOCU Holding up $BURL Fake out $JD Above all the MAs $AGI COTD $WPM Above the 100 SMA $NDAQ Watch 82 $SCHW Breaking out - Low Volume $TBBK Higher than average volume break. $LULU Into the Gap $BIRK Close to the highs.
- scottrades: @SamikRoy $LRN $MSFT It's a good idea to consider a selling a partial, especially if its a new position. Depends on your time frame. If it's a multi year hold, then you likely will want to hold through earnings. If you're swing trading it, take off some risk and consider buying back after the report.
- woodman: $MSFT discussion. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-to-report-q2-earnings-as-deepseek-raises-ai-spending-questions-165353921.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAHqDnGToIGKiUcNfY-BtXgihmm7J6SAUNNT4j-yHm-9v-g5qDF6Uddo0Hyk2Tb6XYFWEnS62ElBo_5uEdGbz0S4ZtnddRzL33_MtNdgwU2TC5l63vfcWtkgVfw94rTnX-tcFcD8Daf-b0GWkcI8UkyTduyjqrpjLEwIWISe2y2NK
- woodman: $MSFT Microsoft Probing Whether DeepSeek Improperly Used OpenAI's API. https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/29/microsoft-probing-whether-deepseek-improperly-used-openais-api/
- woodman: Big Boy earnings today and tomorrow: $META $MSFT $TSLA (today); $AAPL (tomorrow).
- shoredriver: @woodman $META $MSFT $TSLA $AAPL ....$NOW......
- SamikRoy: @scottrades $LRN $MSFT Thank you for the guidance. As suggested, I will sell off 50% of my shares of $MSFT and book profits. Am a long time, multi-year player. Have worked for 12 yrs in $MSFT in the past (not anymore). One thing that @Dan taught me (have been a customer of his since more than a decade now) is that one should not get emotionally attached to a stock. Tx again @Scott. Today is an important day w.r.t rates and mega tech stock earnings
- scottrades: Reminder about these stocks announcing earnings tonight AMC: $TSLA $META $MSFT $IBM $LRCX $NOW $CLS $HITI $WM $WOLF $WDC $LEVI $LVS $WHR $URI $CCS $TTEK $LSTR $MTH $CP $DLB $CALX $TER $AMP $AXS $MXL $NFG $NLY $RJF $SEIC $SIGI $MEOH $BRKL $ETD $CHRW $CLB $BWB $TWO $LBRT $CMPR $FIBK $BSET $RHI $WASH $HWKN
- woodman: @scottrades $TSLA $META $MSFT $IBM $LRCX $NOW $CLS $HITI $WM $WOLF $WDC $LEVI $LVS $WHR $URI $CCS $TTEK $LSTR $MTH $CP $DLB $CALX $TER $AMP $AXS $MXL $NFG $NLY $RJF $SEIC $SIGI $MEOH $BRKL $ETD $CHRW $CLB $BWB $TWO $LBRT $CMPR $FIBK $BSET $RHI $WASH $HWKN - Some big ones in there. I sold half my $META which I have good profits in. I think I will hold $TSLA (smaller position than $META) through.
- scottrades: $MSFT Sales $69.6B vs Est. $68.8B • EPS $3.23 vs Est. $3.10 • Cloud Sales $40.9B vs Est. $41.1B
- kenb: $MSFT $TSLA reported and down. Still waiting for $NOW $META
- scottrades: My notes: $SPY Holding above the 50 Day $QQQ Holding the 50 Day $IWM Holding the 100 EMA $GLD Holding the 8 EMA $IBIT Powell Pump $IGV Still good. $DXY Wild ride $TNX No rate cuts $NVDA At the 200 Day $TSLA Watch for a close above the 50 Day $NFLX Watch 999.40 $META Earnings Pump $MSFT Watch for a bounce at the 50 $SE Mentioned last night $DOCU inside Day $FTNT Watch 101 (After Earnings) $APP Still ok $HOOD Watch 52 $MSTR Earnings Next Week $RCL Watch for a pullback $CCL Watch for a pullback
- jwstich: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $ARM $QCOM $AMZN $MSFT $ORCL $APP $CRM $INTU $NOW $SHOP $TWLO Andy- thank you so much for your post on the AI stocks and related companies. The information that you presented helps immensely. Please feel free to add to this as you see fit over the next few weeks of earnings. Great post IMO. John
- Geewhiz: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $ARM $QCOM $AMZN $MSFT $ORCL $APP $CRM $INTU $NOW $SHOP $TWLO Terrific excellent and wide spanning analysis. Don't know what chips you are running on, but they are head and shoulders above me. Thank you.
- woodman: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $ARM $QCOM $AMZN $MSFT $ORCL $APP $CRM $INTU $NOW $SHOP $TWLO - Thank you very much for this information.
- bill52: @StockMarketMentor $NVDA $ARM $QCOM $AMZN $MSFT $ORCL $APP $CRM $INTU $NOW $SHOP $TWLO Thanks for the thoughtful and detailed write up. Appreciate the insight!
- SamikRoy: @StockMarketMentor $LRN $MSFT @Scott considering this (there is always extra risk holding a stock over earnings.) .... should we sell $MSFT today before the earnings ? It was on @Dan's ATL a month or so ago. It has had a recovery and good run up but I am skeptical of the returns on AI and Azure vs the massive investments they have made. Also most of the IT majors have announced the biggest job cuts and continue to promise investments on AI w/o returns.
-
scottrades: ...
$MSFT Getting hit hard, opening at the 200 Day
Let’s see how things play out!
Scott
- SamikRoy: @scottrades $SPY $QQQ $STRK $NVDA $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $META $MSFT Hi Scott. Wondering whether this is a great opportunity to add to existing positions in $NVDA, $MRVL, $NFLX $GOOG. $MSFT ... was never confident. Had posted a few wks ago that while the technical charts may look good, the fundamentals and past 2 qtrs performance is not that good. They are missing Azure and massive investments on AI are yet to see returns. Would like to have your guidance on the stocks mentioned above. Appreciate & Tx. Rgs
- joelsg1: @woodman $META $AMZN After checking with my corporate son, he has been using DeepSeek from the Apple store and likes it, but it's still controlled by Chinese govt. so if you ask about Uygurs it will block you, yes it's a Sputnik moment but for open source more than anything else, and that's showing up today in market, open source winners: $META and $ZM, walled garden but sticky losers: $GOOGL and $MSFT.
- woodman: @joelsg1 $META $AMZN $ZM $GOOGL $MSFT Thanks!
- joelsg1: @woodman $META $AMZN $ZM $GOOGL $MSFT $AAPL winner too, they didn't spend on the chips or really AI but can use the open source stuff.
- Bert953: $MSFT cpuld work here? Inverted hammer at the 200dMA. This may be support. Reports 1/29
- joelsg1: @Bert953 $MSFT Don't think so, literally the opposite of open source model, though reduced antitrust risk for all their bundling.
| Stock Price | $507.23 |
| Change | 0.59% |
| Volume | 24,307,700 |
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