McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD)

Strategy Session September 18th, 2017

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  • Mikev200: $MCD big gap up..lovin it. 5% from ATH
  • Mikev200: $MCD strong all week
  • Mikev200: @woodman $HUMA LOL I'm a little worried good news will be met with less fanfare due to this market. But, I'm in. BTW, $MCD is smokin TODAY
  • woodman: @Mikev200 $HUMA $MCD - It is quite possible that will happen. Or a initial move up and then quickly a reversal. It happens a lot with biotech even in better enviromments than this.
  • Mikev200: $MCD close HOD on volume
  • traderbren: @Mikev200 $MCD - nothing like extending the $5 promo meal to get your stock off the mat. ;-)
  • RichardinME: $MCD Go defensive, eat 5 dollar meals, and we will all be rich:)
  • scottrades: @RichardinME $MCD LOL! I'm lovin it
  • TraderGeekSam: @scottrades $MCD You can show yourself out now Scott. :-)
  • Mikev200: $MCD might do a starter into close, could be a Mc'Bottom
  • Henry: $CAVA I bought back what I sold yesterday. It $DIN $MCD could have found a bottom
  • Mikev200: $MCD Need to go back 2 years to find ANY $$ winners here.
  • traderbren: $CAVA - impressive bounce and bullish engulfing print today. I got involved via short-term calls this morning. On the flipside, $MCD continues to head for the dumpster dive. NP in $MCD.
  • Cjauger: @traderbren $CAVA $MCD 17% from bottom to top
  • champ: @vitoB $DNUT $MCD....I was forced out after that high turn, I was trailing and now that they reported, might be time to start thinking about scaling Back-in, at some point..... .....so I'm Watching for Entry.... and I don't believe that I need to be in any hurry, for now. Good Luck! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
  • vitoB: @Champ ..you $DNUT reports today.. only stayed for a little on a small position as it seemed destined to fill that $MCD venture spike...think there could be a little short covering rally post earnings
  • champ: @marklesparkle #OT ...Don't know but my guess is, his Secret Service team will probably stop by $MCD and load-up. they bring everybody thats in that location Big Mac's, Fries and Milkshakes. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
  • traderbren: $MCD - someone developed an appetite for a Big Mac when it bounced off the lower BB this morning. NP
  • phgruver: @traderbren $MCD MickeyD reported earnings before the bell. They missed consensus by $0.02, reporting $2.70/share vs estimates of $2.72/share. On the other hand, they beat on revenues, reporting $16.17B vs expectations of $16.16B.
  • Mikev200: $MCD Might be a short next week to $260. based on the weekly.
  • champ: ...
    ....and now with all of those 13,000 $MCD locations, they just solve their company's number-1-problem....not enough locations, so Now they will be expanding up to 13,350 locations.......
    ....and $DNUT existing 350 locations, will also now be acting ...
  • champ: @Lou $DNUT ....I think that these doughnuts are going to turn into Green $$$$ for both $DNUT and $MCD...I'm in know hurry and I hope that I can keep adding...because I'm still building a nice size Investment position....... .....and for me, this is what I call... #a-down-the-road-position. Good Luck!
  • Lou: @champ $DNUT $MCD #a-down-the-road-position - agree
  • wijimmy: @champ@LOU, $DNUT $MCD #a-down-the-road-position ......$20 AN HOUR FOR FAST FOOD WORKERS IN CA... going to cut into profits and causing stores to raise prices and possible closing .... $26 bucks for Big Mac deal CRAZY !!!.. What's a Dozen Donuts and a Box of Joe going to cost now up CA ?... smaller franchised stores like Subway, etc etc.. are going to be in trouble..
  • bigbartabs: @wijimmy $DNUT $MCD #a-down-the-road-position ... I have no idea why government, in California or otherwise, can't leave wages to the open markets. $20 an hour, for a high school kid that all he/she cares about is Friday night with their friends, and 5 Gallons of gas for the night? Forcing businesses to pay that kid $160 a day for flipping burgers, and making sure the French fries don't burn is crushing businesses... right in front of our eyes. What's next? Forcing businesses to provide teenagers a retirement plan?
  • champ: @wijimmy $DNUT $MCD #a-down-the-road-position.......Yes things are getting crazy, because some leaders are not very smart....... .....however there are always the ones who can afford to be buyers and the ones who can't.....and thats #really-the-sad-part...... ....and the Hope is, hopefully that will start to be fixed next year. We can all see, that they are #planning-ahead, by trying to keep their cost in line, by #increasing-their-production and also probably by also rising their prices where needed.....and that what's has been going on with both of these companies.
  • joelsg1: @bigbartabs $DNUT $MCD #a-down-the-road-position Don't think most fast food workers are teenagers anymore, except at In N Out. But will accelerate AI-based ordering and even robotic food prep, good for $NVDA and soon $AMD.
  • jonwest88: @joelsg1 $DNUT $MCD $NVDA $AMD #a-down-the-road-position Yeah here in Md and Va I have heard people would rather work in Mikey D's than Kroger or another grocery, because they get better pay and hours! Hmm so that is why the deli is closed by 4, if even opened today, and the seafood counter is closed by 5. Thank God here in California Maryland, just south of Hollywood Md, the Harris Teeter and GiantFood stores have adequate staff in both the deli and seafood....love the way the steam the shrimp and crab legs for us Yum
  • vitoB: @phgruver $DNUT $MCD I was just making jest at two years because they said 2026 in their own announcement. I don’t know why it would take that long. Haven’t been to a McDonald in a long time in NJ. Lotta pizza and burger establishments
  • champ: $DNUT...HOD at $15.50, Check-out the #News.....because they are teaming-up with $MCD to have their Doughnuts in all of $MCD locations.... ....will probably start a new leg and zig-zag higher, this would be a long term investment position.
  • Henry: $MCD $CMG I canned McD's last week and bought Mr Burrito yesterday for $2,900. 3 months to the split.
  • champ: @vitoB $DNUT .....I'm back-in....I guess you haven't been following my posts on this and thats not completely true....because many $MCD locations are already selling......
    ....and I #started-posting on this a long time ago...on $DNUT at $MCD location ...
  • phgruver: @champ $DNUT $MCD Agreed! Here in NC, $DNUT should have no problem supplying $MCD. There are strategically placed doughnut bakeries all across the state. It's a relatively simple thing to buy a few more delivery trucks and hire a few more drivers. Some logistics to work out, but it sure ain't gonna take 2 years....
  • champ: @phgruver $DNUT $MCD....Thats my guess also and the Markets are always forward looking, they have always said 6-months out....Good Luck!
  • champ: ...
    This sure made my Day and I'm still holding my Full-position, which is not very good money management...because when a stock is up more than 40%, should take some off, however this is only Day-1, off the that #OK-signal from $MCD today, that it is n ...
  • traderbren: $MCD - not my ideal trade but it might be worth a burger-bounce it if $MCD can clear the 200d. We could see a continued bounce trade following their system outage. Cheap way to trade it would be via the 22-Mar 282.50 Calls for 2.50 (est) providing it clears the 200-day at 283.45ish.
  • ManSim: Hi Dan, is $MCD still on ATL? I did not see it but the stop was not hit.
  • oldtimer: @ManSim $MCD it was dropped a while ago . .maybe a week or so
  • ManSim: @oldtimer $MCD I check the chat history, and it was added at 01/19.
  • DAN: @ManSim $MCD The stop was hit on Jan 26th.
  • AndStars: ...
    Fast food restaurants such as $QSR, $WEN, $YUM, $DRI, $DPZ, $MCD may be facing headwinds in addition to forced $20 wages for burger flippers in states such as CA, IL, and NY.

    Some sad news from one of the country's most successful burger chains:

    I ...
  • marklesparkle: @AndStars $QSR $WEN $YUM $DRI $DPZ $MCD #FastFood Yes a shame Oakland is designated now as the most dangerous city in Ca.
  • metal: @AndStars $QSR $WEN $YUM $DRI $DPZ $MCD #FastFood This is what happens when governments start out with an outcome based on some fantasy and try to make reality compliant. They thumb their noses at natural law and try to give us more of what does not work when it all comes crashing down. People have seared their consciences to the truth.
  • Firemedic: @DAN $SPX $DJI $MDY $IWM $NDX $XLK $ARKK $SMH $SMCI $NVDA $RMBS $GOOGL $META $MSFT $PSN $MCD $TSM $SHOP $CCL $RCL Awesome message Dan . Thank you very much for the trade counseling.
  • DAN: Active Trade Update Adding McDonalds ($MCD) to the Active Trade Idea List. Basis $299.95 Stop: $286.75 This is a breakout above $300 that has pulled back ever so slightly. It's likely to be pinned at $300 today, so if you miss it, you might get another shot on Monday. --Dan For a complete list of all Active Trades, click here: https://stockmarketmentor.com/active-trades-list/
  • champ: @DAN $MCD $RMBS....For sure you are the #Breakout-King and I'm a follower...starting out small, on both...and both could also have #Pre-earning moves.
  • DAN: ...
    $MCD - 299.95 / 386.75
    $RMBS -- 782.34 / 69.70

    $TSM -- Raised guidance. 4/18 earnings.This forecast indicates a robust rebound for the semiconductor industry, emerging from a deep inventory glut. TSM's optimistic outlook is attributed to the incre ...
  • Mikev200: $MCD HOD ATH earnings end of month
  • Mikev200: $MCD scratch that ATH,,,clooooose
  • sierramp: $MCD has moved above recent short basing. It didn't fall off at 1:00 ET like most indexes and stocks.
  • sierramp: $MCD has been on a steady climb along for 8D for the last month. Look at the weekly chart. It appears there could be more room to run. EPS and Rev have increased each of the last 4 quarters. Dividend of $1.67 div-ex on 11-20-23 paid 12-15-23.
  • champ: $WING $DRI......$CMG $MCD $YUM....and others...certain restaurant chains are working, in this sector.
  • Henry: $AXON no follow thru, get yourself a Big Mac, $MCD coming off the bottom
  • Auto: $CLSK $MCD added long daily
  • Auto: @Auto $CLSK $MCD $CLSK watching $4.29 to add again
  • traderbren: $MCD - just noticed that it's held up well in this tape today....although there is no set up other than a bounce trade.
  • Auto: $MU $J $BITO $MCD $X added long daily
  • traderbren: #Consumer - just took a look at $TGT, $DG $DLTR, $M, $MCD -- yikes! Says a lot about the consumer -- versus $TJX, $WMT, $COST
  • curtis: $MCD and all fast food, watch out below: *Prospects for the AB 1228 bill in California that would boost wages to $20 per hour or more is weighing on our shares of McDonald's. *Passage of AB 1228 would accelerate the use of technology to replace workers, as well as lead to higher menu prices. *Staying on the sidelines given the risk of hawkish Fed comments on Wednesday. McDonald's MCD shares have traded off, thanks to a bill called AB 1228, which was passed by the California state Senate. The proposed legislation includes raising the wage floor to $20 per hour for California workers at fast-food chains starting April 1. The current ...
  • PhilHarmonic: @curtis $MCD If wages rise then Mcdonald’s will raise prices..Hence profits will rise. Wages have been rising for the last 200 years and so have prices.
  • champ: $DNUT...$13...#Krispy-Kreme-Donuts will be presenting at that Piper Sandler Growth Conference tomorrow, 9/13, at 11:30 am ET and then on 9/18 at 1:15 pm ET they will be at that 21st Annual #Best-Idea conference, presenting again. ..Presentations will be by their great CEO Mike Tattersfield and he will joined by their CFO and also their COO. ....This looks like a nice spot to get back-in again, for another low Risk-entry, for a low-risk #swing position....because that July high was at $16.22. ....Plus could get more News about $MCD, adding more store locations, for selling their Krispy Kreme Donuts.
  • champ: $MCD and $DRI are both active again this morning.
  • Onthemark: @champ $MCD $DRI Once they break the downward slope, they will really become actionable. I took a starter in both, now waiting to see if the bottoms are in.
  • champ: @Onthemark $MCD $DRI...I'm swinging 150 and 200 shares and I'm not expecting a lot, however I'm happy as long as they are green, Trailing....I was trailing at around entry.....and I moved both-up....and I agree, Exactly, now waiting to see what the Markets are going too do, they both need help from the Markets. And as we all know....most everything Needs help from the Markets, however it is always nice when we get lucky....and I hope the Markets, gives us the luck that we need today. ...No-luck = No-profits. $EXPE is one of the lucky ones today.
  • champ: $MCD....$277.....upgrade to #Overweight by $WFC, with a price target at $310, has room, plus checks indicate Q3 comps are tracking ahead of expectations, so I'm going to park some $$$ here.
  • DrScience: $MCD Touching down at the 200 DMA and prior support at 280 from JUN 6. If we can find a bottom today, I'd be looking for a bounce to retest the 8 EMA this week.
  • traderbren: @DrScience $MCD - yep, I just noticed the Big Mac hitting the 200d this morning. I had considered shorting it when it couldn't clear the 50d some time ago...but didn't pull the trigger.
  • Henry: $MCD would be a low risk buy stop below 289.5
  • Auto: $ENPH $MCD added long daily
  • Henry: $MCD Good morning Revs up 12%, maybe it can break out of it's squeeze.
  • Auto: $BA $MCD $NVDA $MU $WDAY added long daily
  • DAN: ...
    Thursday: McDonalds ($MCD) Royal Caribbean ($RCL) Enphase ($ENPH) Roku ($ROKU) First Solar ($FSLR) T-Mobile ($TMUS) Mastercard ($MA) Skechers ($SKX) and Crox ($CROX).

    Friday: ExxonMobil ($XOM) Chevron ($CVX) and P&G ($PG).

    Traders know that th ...
  • Geewhiz: @DAN $GOOGL $MSFT $SPOT $SNAP $TDOC $V $VZ $B $META $T $KO $NOW $EBAY $MCD $RCL $ENPH $ROKU $FSLR $TMUS $MA $SKX $CROX $XOM $CVX $PG Please review $ENPH $GTLS
  • kenb: @DAN $GOOGL $MSFT $SPOT $SNAP $TDOC $V $VZ $B $META $T $KO $NOW $EBAY $MCD $RCL $ENPH $ROKU $FSLR $TMUS $MA $SKX $CROX $XOM $CVX $PG could you cover $BILL
  • Geewhiz: @DAN $GOOGL $MSFT $SPOT $SNAP $TDOC $V $VZ $B $META $T $KO $NOW $EBAY $MCD $RCL $ENPH $ROKU $FSLR $TMUS $MA $SKX $CROX $XOM $CVX $PG Please cover $EDU as well
  • Hemal: @DAN $GOOGL $MSFT $SPOT $SNAP $TDOC $V $VZ $B $META $T $KO $NOW $EBAY $MCD $RCL $ENPH $ROKU $FSLR $TMUS $MA $SKX $CROX $XOM $CVX $PG I am reading the book in bits and pieces as time allows. Old Turkey will currently say it is early innings in a bull market so investors should establish a core position and let them run. Trying to swing for small gains and trying to rinse and repeat could be a recipe for underperformance.
  • DAN: ...
    I am happy with the stocks we have on the Active Trade Idea list, but I am looking at other stocks like McDonalds ($MCD) and Salesforce ($CRM). The banks are also attractive and I'm just waiting for my train. I missed the last one and they got awa ...
  • Auto: $SBUX $ITRI $MCD added long daily
  • marketdude: @DAN $NDX $COMPQX $SPX $DJI $JPM $GS $MS $BAC $WFC $AAPL $AMZN $GOOGL $NFLX $NVDA $META $MSFT $MARA $MSTR $RIOT $MCD $CRM Great post, Dan, and along with pride there's EGO and as you've said many times "do you want to be right or do you want to make money?" and this applies because ego can get in the way of "holding on" to winning stocks because "I want to be right and this stock is going much higher" but if it reverses, you hold on and :"white knuckle" down until you can't take the pain any longer and sell it and, congratulations, you BOTTOM TICKED the stock!
  • DAN: @marketdude $NDX $COMPQX $SPX $DJI $JPM $GS $MS $BAC $WFC $AAPL $AMZN $GOOGL $NFLX $NVDA $META $MSFT $MARA $MSTR $RIOT $MCD $CRM Been there, done that. 8-)
  • Bandit: $MCD Squeezing above the 50 dma.
  • Mikev200: $MCD strong today
  • champ: @Mikev200 $MCD....and so is $DRI....this is the Green-dance Day.
  • Henry: $MCD is close to a monthly and weekly breakout. Restaurants have been strong lately.
  • sierramp: @vitoB $CAVA $SG $CMG Pretty good demand. Mediterranean seems to be the way health conscious people want to eat now. Certainly healthier than Taco Bell, $MCD, etc. $CAVA should perform more like $CMG than $SG but there are always unknowns.
  • Lou: @bigbartabs $CAVA - thanks. I expect that it may settle down a good bit lower than the first trade but is still a good LT investment. The concerns and comparisons are that it may be more like Sweetgreen than Chipotle. There is no talk as to whether it might grow like $SHAK. Chipotle got a running start when it was spun off from $MCD. $SHAK started much later and grew, unlike Sweetgreens. My sad story is that as a shareholder in $MCD I got an offer at the spin-off to either keep my $MCD shares or surrender them and take Chipotle shares on a 1 for 1 basis. I liked the dividend do I kept the $MCD shares. The rest is history. Anyway, I'm happy for my kids.
  • bigbartabs: @Lou $CAVA $SHAK $MCD ... yes, our kids. It's all about that these days. Their success now is what I am more concerned about than my wife and I. We are in fine shape financially. In fact, so blessed that when I went to work for Perot in 1978, and ...
  • champ: $DRI ...HOD...#Olive-Garden is moving after Mother's Day and plus.....Mexico Celebrated their Mother's Day last Wednesday, on the 10th....and I never seen that place so busy ever before.... and every Table was full when I left at 5:00. .....The News flow has been really positive on this stock for a few months now and my guess is..... it's going to Breakout, just lake $MCD and $CMG did. ....I'm still holding my Core Investment position and I'm trading around that Core position....however I increased my Core position size, this morning.
  • champ: $WEN...is going to report Where the Beef in the mornings and they just might follow $MCD, strong comps that they reported.
  • Mikev200: $MCD add small on small PB to 8dma and back up.....stop @ lod tiiiight.
  • RiccardoB: $MCD buying 2 months out puts . risk reward now it’s optimal.
  • Mikev200: $MCD ATH HOD earnings last Tuesday with a small beat.
  • Mikev200: $MCD watching for new high, earnings past/good
  • Mikev200: $MCD nice bounce off 2% PB...see if holds. Pretty good selling volume past 2 days. Watching see if it holds up here.
  • champ: @champ $DRI #Olive-Garden #comps-this-year #Same-restaurant-Sales......Plus the facts speak for themselves......Restaurant trends are Strong...... ....look at $MCD, $CMG and next will be $DRI. ~~~~ Hold and Build.........
  • phgruver: $MCD, same store sales up 12.6%, vs estimates of 8.7%, revenue up 4% to $5.9B vs estimates of $5.5B, eps up 15% to $2.63 vs estimates of $2.33. A solid performance on all metrics, but it $MCD worth $300/share? That puts the P/E at about 28.5, down from 35.14, going into earnings. It's hard to say, but there aren't many companies, right now, that are printing money....
  • DavidK: @phgruver $MCD bought puts this am . Projected 10% earnings grower 2024 trading at a PE of 29. No thanks . This isn’t NVDA .CEO on CNBC stating company experiencing inflation ( costs ) on almost all input items .
  • Mikev200: $MCD nice run right into earnings TOMORROW
  • champ: $DNUT....HOD and this has been a Great stock for me....Investment position....and the CEO was on CNBC the other day and he said that they are still growing really nicely......and he also said, they they are suppling Donuts, for others to sell, they are mainly a #Wholesaler, with Wholesaler-plants, also with retail locations...... ....and Restaurants, Fast foods, Hotels and others like maybe 7-11 sell their products.. .... .....this is an example...$MCD, which is now testing at around 200 locations, I can't remember the exact number, that they are add now... because they keep raising that number. I'm still Holding and Building.
  • Mikev200: $MCD HOD ATH, earnings Tuesday
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Stock Price $296.19
Change 2.04%
Volume 5,019,800

McDonald's Corporation franchises and operates McDonald's restaurants in the food service industry. The Company and its franchisees purchase food, packaging, equipment and other goods from numerous independent suppliers.

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