Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU)

Strategy Session February 3rd, 2015

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  • dunsek: $BTU "Founded in 1883 by 24-year-old Francis S. Peabody with $100, a wagon and two mules", has declared bankruptcy. http://bloom.bg/1NnJAYL
  • Lou: @Forexpro - nice one Kevin. Wonder what they'd say about $BTU.
  • bigbartabs: @dunsek $BTU ... If he had been still alive, Peabody would have been well advised to have a stop at his entry point of $100.
  • shoredriver: @Lou $BTU probably something like Buy RHRN!!!
  • FHS: @bigbartabs $BTU ACI ANR WLT--who's next to file bankruptcy? Curious that no activists are lamenting the loss of coal miner's jobs now.
  • dkoran: $BTU- up 17% and company stated it might declare bankruptcy and also missed some payments yesterday. Gets credit downgrade today. go figure. Shorting $FCX RHRN with options . If i am wrong it won't take me long to figure it out. Also shorting $CAT.
  • Bridget: $BTU huge move today
  • FHS: @Bridget $BTU And now halted. This has gone from 2.3 to over 6 in but a few days. No position. Interesting. Cheers.
  • DrScience: $BTU Volatility halt
  • FHS: @FHS $BTU I'll say. Ichan and Soros probably went long at 2, and are now shorting it. Cheers.
  • Lavrock: @FHS $BTU
    Excerpt from Bronte Capital blog:

    Being punished for doing the obvious: Peabody Energy Corp edition
    Posted: 08 Mar 2016 02:32 AM PST
    It is no secret that US coal companies are financially stretched. But Peabody Energy is particularly str ...
  • FHS: @Lavrock $BTU $SUNE Fascinating, and beyond my trading ken; debt vs. equity that is. It's one of those after-the-fact scenarios, where one wishes one had had a position, but now too late. Such as the last time BTU and ACI spiked 300-500%, only to have ACI file for bankruptcy. Thought BTU might go in the same direction, therefore very hesitant to get in. Requires nimble fingers, as with SUNE. Traded twice last week, in and out for good profit, but with sweaty fingers as it too has bankruptcy rumors. Fingers now recuperating; well, now exactly, as $DUST keeps me busy for a few minutes early morning. Anyway, I blather, and thanks for passing on that blog. Cheers.
  • Lavrock: @FHS $BTU $SUNE $DUST Glad you enjoyed the piece. Bronte Capital was the first to question the accounting for $VRX - when the stock was north of 200. It is an Australian fund manager run by John Hempton. His blog is occasional and informative.
  • Bridget: Everyone is buying losers, even $BTU is up!
  • bigbartabs: @Bridget $BTU ... yes, and even broke countries! Look at Greece and Brazil. $GREK $EWZ
  • 1winkie: $AVGO, $DG, $GS, $BTU, $QCOM and More...
    Stocks opened higher after several OPEC nations reportedly have agreed to freeze their oil production (but not cut production).

    These are the top analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations seen on Tuesday ...
  • dagdog: $BTU - Can't believe I'm saying this but...nice move here this morning. Above average volume, testing prior high around 4.04
  • dkoran: @dagdog $BTU If some of these coal companies can survive another 9-10 months and we get a Republican in the office, maybe these will be a huge buy.
  • icbusiness: $XME $JOY $CAT $TEX $KMTUY $DE (DEERE=Hitachi Mining Shovels / Haul trucks Distributor in N and S America) - Mining really in trouble - massive job loses in Mining affecting Cat, Joy Global, Komatsu, Deere, etc - mining slump (layoffs - and i ...
  • TravelinTrader: $BTU up 6% looks like Santa is delivering "coal". Really would like to short this turkey but probably too late.
  • mradams0621: ...
    -4.05% $BTU Peabody Energy Corp 7.11 60
    -3.62% $SCSS Select Comfort Cor 20.50 3100
    -3.49% $LSCC Lattice Semiconduc 5.80 700
    -3.28% $VXX Barclays Bank PLC 20.08 776950
    -2.07% $NAVB Navidea Biopharmac 1.42 800
    -1.28% $CANF Can-Fite Biopharma 3.08 ...
  • GreenGhost: $BTU well the wicked high shorties in this one are getting some anthracite here ; look at volume on last Friday ; tip off ; big 25% low to hi move in week and of course HTB stock is up 17% on elevated volume stock may see 10 here ; NP but will to re-enter on pullback and bounce Ho Ho Ho!
  • GreenGhost: Note low volume commentary which I mentioned earlier $BTU is one of those dash for trashes / very high Beta ( see earlier post on same) ; $UVXY spike in last 1/2 hour was NYC terror threat http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-22/terrorists-almost-spoil-traders-dash-trash-volume-disappears http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-12-22/nyc-has-received-credible-threat-days-ahead-christmas-pix11-reports
  • mradams0621: ...
    7.87% $BTU Peabody Energy Corp 10.00 333
    7.50% $PBMD Prima BioMed Ltd 1.29 115390
    7.24% $GLW Corning Inc. 18.97 316970
    6.97% $OTIC Otonomy Inc 28.40 3110
    6.80% $VMEM Violin Memory 0.96 100
    6.67% $DSCO Discovery Laborato 0.24 1340
    6.60% $SUNE S ...
  • Bridget: $BTU in a very tight squeeze. I currently have an alert set at $25.80 to alert me of a breakout. ER is set for 10/27.
  • freeno: $ACI, $BTU, $CLF @ tnt - coal moving today , will CLF move without the others due to the high short interest ?
  • tnt: @freeno $ACI $BTU $CLF Not necessarily. The shorts in $CLF have been entrenched for some time, but as metals stabilize and bulls come in it is more likely to juice higher quickly
  • Bridget: BTO $BTU @ $24. Support held at $23. Stop just below $23.
  • Bridget: $BTU is coming out of a squeeze on high volume
  • hunter2: @Bridget $BTU Initiated a small position. Volatile stock. I like the double bottom with a higher low; positive diverging MACD and the squeeze and upside pop that you mentioned; and, the fact that money is rotating into commodities.
  • basicind: What up with $BTU ?
  • champ: @basicind $BTU - Had a 1-for-15 reverse stock split last week, which had the effect of dramatically reducing the share count. $ACI is also launching and is up 20% now was up around 30%.
  • GreenGhost: @basicind $BTU Many mutual funds can't buy stocks under $5 bucks per their charter/by laws ; reverse split takes that off table and now allows fund participation should they so chose ; creates potential for new demand for shares; of course very heavy short interest/shares are HTB ; reverse split also has effect of eviscerating shares outstanding so liquidity just dropped off cliff send likely shorts running for cover (ing) ; Wall Street financial engineering at its best LOL!
  • Bridget: If $BTU opens between $23-$25 I would be buying. There is resistance around $30. Could make for a good short term trade. I wouldn't be holding for a long term trade yet until an uptrend has been defined.
  • BobJ: $SUNE BTO @ 11.10 STO this weeks 11 strike call at .58 $USO Long cost basis 14.32 STO this weeks 14.50 call at .32 $BTU Long STO this weeks 1.50 strike call at .20
  • BobJ: $NFLX 99.18 STO 9/4/15 97.50 puts for 1.00 $SUNE. Closed 10 10.50 and 11.50 puts yesterday when stock was at 12.18 $BTU bought at 2.64 now 2.18 Closed 2.50 covered calls and bought next weeks 2.00 strike covered calls. $BTU STO 9/11 2.00 PUTS .32
  • dagdog: $BTU - Can't believe I'm saying this but $BTU is looking good. Not sure how much further this move will go before pulling back to test the 50 again. But, the bottom is well in. Thanks to George Soros.
  • hwyflier: @dagdog $BTU $ACI : Well if ACI is any indicator………..
  • dagdog: @hwyflier $BTU $ACI - Yep. Good point. Are you in?
  • bigbartabs: @dagdog $BTU $ACI You and me both. I set a buy limit on ACI and it just hit. Up 200% in the last 6 days. I may do the same with BTU. Small positions. But I got tired of saying every morning "when it pulls back". Now that I bought a small piece, it will probably go to the earth's molten mantle.
  • Dave: @bigbartabs - Hi Big Bar, it sure has kicked off the coals, as I guess the market is using Monday as this sector's low (along with every other sector, of course). Current action: $BTU 48%, $ACI 38%, $WLB 28%, $CLD 22%, $DJUSCL 17%, $CNX 15%.
  • hwyflier: $ACI $BTU : Coal still burning hot.
  • hwyflier: $ACI $BTU : Insanity......Both up 200% /- last few days. So when is George buying steele stocks?
  • FHS: @hwyflier $BTU $ACI I know! I feel like a fool for not being in. I've kept these two on my radar for possible "bottoms" or "bounces" or whatever for months, hell years, only to see them rocket without me. Crazy. And the moment I try to get in, Soros and pals will short the snot out of them. Cheers.
  • hwyflier: $BTU : $ACI : Mr. Clean Air, George Soros, buying Peabody Energy and Arch coal now. Smells fishy? Both up huge. http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/08/17/the-new-king-coal-george-soros/
  • dkoran: @hwyflier $BTU- hopefully new Republican President can get the EPA under control. There is tech out there that burns REAL clean coal. These companies have to survive somehow until then. I have played golf with one of the CEO's of a top Utility Company (can't mention names) and comments are that present admin is incompetent.
  • DAN: @hwyflier $BTU $ACI -- Now that's funny!
  • Jadee: $CNX $BTU $MO $WYNN The "principle" is to make a profit. If I swear up n down that one thing is a sure bet and find I am wrong(in time) I am going to reverse as fast as possible and bet in the other direction.

    Pride cometh before the loss ...
  • janner0814: @DAN How sad. I once "or twice" tried going long $BTU in May 2011 (before my #SMM membership); took my ouchies losses and stopped that bad idea. Now it's about 1/670th the price (it used to be $67). Bad.
  • El_Tuito: $ANR ...its trading 3 cents above support. $BTU is 1.09 above support ....this is so sad
  • GreenGhost: $BTU Now here's some really useful analyst speak; better act on that right away! http://seekingalpha.com/news/2621775-no-near-term-positive-catalysts-for-coal-stocks-analyst-says
  • GreenGhost: $Z $SD $SAN $SDRL $BBEP $DDD $SWN $EOG $X $VALE $BTU $CLF $FCX $X $FSLR $TKMR $NFG $FANG $WLL $LUV $RUSL $BABA $YHOO $HP $LFC $TCK had more but made me nauseous ; Just flipping through some stocks from days of yore ; yikes a rama NP in any and hope y ...
  • El_Tuito: $BTU ....the only word I can think of for Peabody is 'brutal'
  • bigbartabs: $ACI $BTU $ANR Coal... who would have ever thought these would be penny stocks. I wonder what US industry will be. next.
  • Iceman: ...
    $BTU Jun 19 2015 7/8/9 Puts
    $DNR Jun 19 2015 8/9/10 Puts
    $ESV Jun 19 2015 24/25 Puts
    $GMCR Jun 19 2015 85 Puts
    $GOGL 100 JUN 15 5 Puts
    $PGN Jun 19 2015 2.5 Puts
    $QEP Jun 19 2015 19 Puts
    $SVXY Jun 19 2015 75 Calls (Covered)
    $SVXY Jun 19 2015 90 Calls ...
  • GreenGhost: @hunter2 Several Coal guys announced laying off again/shutting down even more capacity; many charts in space toast ; getting very bearish this week look at charts of $ACI and $BTU ; sad :( Coal transport = Big volume and revenue producer for rails.
  • hunter2: @GreenGhost #Rails $ACI $BTU - Thanks GreenGhost, good to know re potential catalyst, layoffs in coal space. Oil has dipped a little today, was wondering if that may have something to do with it as well.
  • GreenGhost: $TCK mentioned rail/coal issue earlier in a post today; just saw this cross the tape; coking coal over supply/lack of demand problem ain't going away anytime soon; I referred to a few "close to toast" coal name such as $ACI and $BTU (getting there). Throw this one in the mix ; was a 66 stock in 2011 has lost over 80% of its value; no reason I can see to be long this stock ; wrong sector and wrong stock in a very long and pronounced downtrend with no signs of reversing. Don't be tempted on today's oversold bounce. :) http://seekingalpha.com/news/2550226-wsj-teck-s-cuts-are-not-enough-to-fire-up-coal-prices
  • hwyflier: $BTU : Nice move off the bottom today.
  • hwyflier: $BTU : For those willing to trade the dark side, coal stock all pretty much reached good short term buy points today.
  • hwyflier: Coal : $BTU aside (nice intraday move), today wasn't the day, yet. But these all just starting to come off the base, in $ACI and $ANR the 20d and 50d SMA's are turning up, with the price frequently above both. $WLT in a huge squeeze, and if the sector moves up it'll follow. Watch and prepare.
  • Iceman: ...
    $BTU Mar 20 2015 9 Puts - new long stock position
    $CONN Mar 20 2015 26 Calls - going short the stock
    $ESV Mar 20 2015 31 Puts - new long stock position
    $PGN Mar 20 2015 5 Puts - new long stock position

    $SVXY Mar 20 2015 64 Calls (Covered) - generat ...
  • FHS: $WLT $BTU $ANR $FANG Looks like WLT is winning the race to zero. Cut bait at 8, for which I can thank Dan; don't think a beaten down stock can go lower? There's your evidence. Whew! Bored today; just looking around. Other than cutting $SN loose, though keeping a weary bleary teary eye on it to see if it sinks below, or bounces at, support or the 50ma. Taking a look at $FANG--thanks tnt--though no position; might be a good buy point. Drillers seem to be up today. Ho hum...cheers.
  • DrScience: $BTU up 7% on the day. Traders going after the APR 8 Calls.
  • Bridget: $BTU $USO $XLE Energy stocks are down today but on low volume. I'm not selling yet. Looks to be just a correction after the fast run up.
  • Auto: $BTU is not walking the upper BB it is running up that bad boy... :>)
  • Auto: $BTU bids are coming in.. :>)
  • Auto: $BTU takeover ..Trafigura may bid for BTU to gain market share watching... :>)
  • Mjones1: $btu bought a bit for possible bid
  • Bridget: @DAN I like $USO and $BTU if you don't have as much capital.
  • DAN: @Bridget $USO $BTU -- great ideas, Bridget. I agree. And they both look good.
  • GreenGhost: ...
    Also: $BHP -4.5%, $VALE -5%, $FCX -12%, $SCCO -4.9%, $TCK -9.7%, $CLF -4.4%, $CENX -9.1%, $MT -4.2%, $X -4.9%, $NUE -3.4%, $STLD -2.6%, $BTU -9.8%, $ANR -8.8%, $ACI -8.9%.
  • ajitsuthar: $BTU recovered 10.00% today from LOD
  • snmtraders: @dagdog $BTU - think of it as a perpetual call option.
  • SierraJW: @dagdog Re: BTU & LT holds.. John Templeton, one of the legendary investors set out his rules for LT investing. Rule 15 is: 15. The time to sell an asset is when you have found a much better bargain to replace it. That can work for LT and short term, IMO. Also, look at the energy sector's chart - it will recover, and $BTU currently has a 4% dividend, but perhaps a yieldhog stock would be a better bet. Here was my post with all the rules: SMM forum, 8/26, 11:25AM - search on Templeton...
  • bwcarnation1: COAL - haven't looked at coal stocks in a long time amazing how far they have fallen....$BTU 7.48, $WLT 2.05, $ACI 1.78. I remember trading wlt when it was above 100 and btu in the 80s
  • Iceman: #ShortPuts #FallingKnife - so now the entire market is a falling knife. In an account that is almost 100% cash, I'm starting the following positions: Sold 1 $ATI Jul 17 2015 25.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $BTU Jun 19 2015 7.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $CBI Jul 17 2015 30.0 Put @ 1.20 Sold 1 $DE Jun 19 2015 75.0 Put @ 1.62 Sold 1 $DOW Jun 19 2015 39.0 Put @ 1.30 Sold 1 $EMN Jun 19 2015 60.0 Put @ 1.40 Sold 1 $FCX May 15 2015 21.0 Put @ 1.22 Sold 1 $FLR Jul 17 2015 45.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $GNW Jun 19 2015 8.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $HAL Jul 17 2015 27.5 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $KSU Jun 19 2015 85.0 Put @ 1.45 Sold 1 $RDC Jul 17 2015 17.0 Put @ 1.25 Sold 1 $RIG May 15 2015 12.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $TRN Jul 17 2015 20.0 Put @ 1.10 Sold 1 $WYNN Jun 19 2015 95.0 Put @ 1.10 Mutual fund 101.... hehe
  • Iceman: ...
    Sold 1 $BTU Jun 19 2015 9.0 Put @ 1.10
    Sold 1 $CAM May 15 2015 40.0 Put @ 1.10
    Sold 1 $CHK Jul 17 2015 17.0 Put @ 1.25
    Sold 1 $CNX Jul 17 2015 30.0 Put @ 1.10
    Sold 1 $COP May 15 2015 55.0 Put @ 1.10
    Sold 1 $DNR Jun 19 2015 8.0 Put @ 1.10
    Sold 1 $ESV ...
  • bullmoose: Added to $BTU near the open. Also bought $TLT March 122 calls.
  • GreenGhost: ...
    The coal sector was hit hard also today. Big losers included $ANR $BTU $ACI. Copper names took it on the chin as did many of the industrial metals and miners.

    If you sort through the big red candle sectors you can see the widespread and heavy selli ...
  • bullmoose: I had to run to a meeting this morning so I haven't been in the forum. But before I left, I bought some $BTU, which has turned out to be a nice buy so far. I think it's setting up to break through the 50-day with nice support at the 20-day. I wish I would have also bought more $CYBR, which gave a nice buyable pullback. Also, $BITA, $TCK, $SOHU and $YY would have been nice morning buys if I was around my trading desk. But, I think they're all still buys.
  • 1Boston330: $BTU Up 4% and $CLD up 2.5% rhrn. The 50 ema's are up trending. After a 2 down days, we are getting an up day on a market down day. I'm hesitant to add, after being stopped out of most of my positions in both yesterday. Long common, small positions. Thoughts.
  • GreenGhost: $KOL, $ANR, $BTU et al. One analyst/trader's view as to the sustainability of the recent short squeeze like price action, especially in the financially distressed coal providers. http://seekingalpha.com/article/2664985-after-the-squeeze-whats-next-for-coal?ifp=0
  • hwyflier: $BTU $WLT $ACI $ANR : Floor? Second basecamp?
  • DrScience: @hwyflier $BTU $WLT $ACI $ANR: Mezzanine. Pre/post-election euphoria giving way to needed R&R and clarity. Money flow barely positive, but still anemic. Could be 6 months before real legislative work gets done on the Coal issue. But, then again... the market is forward-looking, so now might be the time to take a position or add to existing position. Be sure to check the balance sheet. A liquidity event trumps all that coal in the ground.
  • GreenGhost: @hwyflier $KOL, $ANR, $BTU et al. One analyst/trader's view as to the sustainability of the recent short squeeze like price action, especially in the financially distressed coal providers. http://seekingalpha.com/article/2664985-after-the-squeeze-whats-next-for-coal?ifp=0
  • 1Boston330: $BTU. Purchased small entry position at 11,35 on above avg vol with 5% trailing stop, which is just below today's intraday low. BTU is up 4% today, up like many coal stocks. $ANR also looks good. Long $CLD.
  • BocaRick: @shayne $WLT $ANR $BTU Dan covered these Wednesday SS. Thought all could continue up. $ANR at $2.4 assumed could run to $3 - up 25% (that was Wednesday opinion)
  • ThatOtherDan: $BTU had a very large sell (> 600K shares) after hours. Not quite sure what that means. Welcome any thoughts / insights from the forum. Thanks!
  • 1Boston330: $BTU@ThatOtherDan. I don't think anyone could answer your question except the seller. I don't think that it matters, for the stock is up 1.86% rhrn on 69,647 traded shares before market opening, per Chas. S. gl.
  • 1Boston330: $CLD. Up another 1% today. Some coal stocks are getting bids--$ACI, $ANR, $BTU, $WLB, etc. Entered $CLD yesterday and added twice in small increments with tight stops; plan to add again today if it continues to go up. $CLD has good fundies, which mean a lot to me in this sector. Long common 1/4 position.
  • bullmoose: @DragonFly Be aware that you're adding at resistance as it gets knocked back from the 50-day average. It could fall back to 2.15 before finding support, but more likely somewhere around the breakout level of 2.45. I'd wait for the next bounce. But, I'm actually more interested in $BTU.
  • traderbren: @TRICIA - agreed. There's a slight lift in $ANR and $BTU although I would stay away until seeing a significant turn.
  • 1Boston330: $CLD. Up 3+% today on above avg vol on an uptrending daily chart. Many other coal stocks are up--$LLEN, $UEC, $ANR, $NRP, $BTU, and others. $CLD is down 29% YTD, but is up 11% in the last 5 bus days. Entered yesterday at 12.07 and will add at close today if it stays up. Edit 1: Decided to add with a tight stop; purchased 2nd lot at 12.76 rhrn.
  • 1Boston330: $CLD. Continues to move up (+7.7% rhrn) on abov avg vol. The coal sector is moving up. See $UEC, $SCOK, $ANR, $CNX, $BTU; just to name a few. Maybe the evir. regs on coal will be moderated. Added again at 13.22.
  • hwyflier: $BTU $ACI : How did that song from the Jefferson's show go again?
  • hwyflier: $ACI $ANF $BTU $XOP $WFT etc......... The red coats are coming, the red coats are coming (administration change next week?)
  • Spearchucker53: $BTU $WLT It seems the coal stocks are working on a bit of a base here so wanted to float this idea. Since about mid August it has been a bloodbath in coal and recently the volumes have been quite high. I wonder if this is finally the capitulation in coal and also I wonder if this is a bit of a predictor of the upcoming election. Could coal make a move if the EPA is held at bay for the next couple years? Any thoughts?
  • msb: @FHS - I was long $ACI, $ANR, $BTU and $WLT. I had gains of 18% to 35% and they were looking tired on an hourly chart, so I took profits on all but BTU. I'll keep an eye on them to look for an entry point. Actually, now that I look at WLT again, it is not looking all that tired. Hope you are rested after your trip. Regards.
  • msb: @FHS - Good timing! I just posted on $ACI. $BTU might be holding too. At least it is diversified with natgas. Cheers!
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Stock Price $USD 23.53
Change 0.17%
Volume 714,058

Peabody Energy Corporation is involved in mining. It mines, prepares, and sells thermal coal to electric utilities and metallurgical coal to industrial customers.

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