Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE:BTU)

Strategy Session May 14th, 2014

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BTU Weekly Chart

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  • Motorman: $ARCH taking a beating, NP. Hold a small piece of $BTU.
  • Max115: $BTU nice move above 200d
  • jonwest88: $BTU nope; $CEIX yup.
  • Eng_trader: $BTU back above 8EMA
  • jonwest88: @Eng_trader $BTU You 'dig' coal look at $CEIX.
  • champ: @woodman $ARCH $CEIX $AMR $HCC.....$ARCH is the second largest coal producer in the U.S....and $BTU is the largest but they only focus on met coal.
  • bb_b: $BTU break out from flat base.
  • henrik511: $BTU, breaking out, running up into earnings
  • debeers: $BTU-part of the commodities supercycle--Baby is coal outside!
  • debeers: $BTU-Peabody Energy saw unusually large options trading on Monday. Stock traders bought 37,645 call options on the stock. This represents an increase of 45% compared to the average volume of 25,877 call options.
  • Docoof: @debeers $BTU Before open announced authorization of repurchases of up to $1.0 billion of $BTU common stock. 
  • debeers: $AAPL/$ARDX/$CROX/small$JPM/$MSFT/$SCHW bought when the CEO did/ $TECK/$BTU- nothing improves priocing like 1.Taking shares off the market--i.e. buybacks and 2.divvie increases IMO
  • debeers: @debeers $AAPL $ARDX $CROX $JPM $MSFT $SCHW $TECK $BTU -Did i mention that the second analyst went to 7 on @Woodman's prescience.
  • Docoof: @Docoof $BTU https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/peabody-announces-robust-shareholder-return-program-301798367.html
  • debeers: @Docoof $BTU -we are on the same page.
  • Docoof: @debeers $BTU Awesome 👍 :-)
  • jonwest88: @debeers $AAPL $ARDX $CROX $JPM $MSFT $SCHW $TECK $BTU You like them, ay, then we like $CEIX
  • sgiseller: @Docoof $BTU thats one way to make a run to earnings, bravo to all who are in, unfortunately not for me, this chart looks like the rocky mtns to me
  • natural: Anyone figure out what news caused $BTU halt EOD?
  • champ: @natural $BTU....
  • natural: @champ $BTU I see it now: "Peabody (NYSE: BTU) today confirmed a fire that began earlier today at its Shoal Creek Mine involving void fill material utilized to stabilize the roof structure of the mine. The Shoal Creek Mine is near Jefferson , Walker , and Tuscaloosa counties in Alabama . All mine personnel have now been safely evacuated from the mine."
  • champ: @natural $BTU ....OK...and Thanks for following-up.
  • Lonestar Ranger: @natural $BTU , News release at 4:07 confirmed a fire at its Shoal Creek Mine in Al. All mine personnel have been safely evacuated from the mine.
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Not all long consolidations end up going higher.
    $GDX -- Might be the year for gold.
  • phgruver: @vitoB $ARLP $UNG At the same time, $BTU is being hammered down to the 50dma. That's a 5.82% decline from the open. It's still in trend, though. Something to watch....
  • Rjeletrik: @phgruver $ARLP $UNG $BTU sitting on the 20wma
  • wineinquirer: $CEIX $BTU ? News re: coal drubbing? np
  • vitoB: @wineinquirer $CEIX $BTU im thinkin this would have to be related with the russia energy/price cap situation
  • scottrades: @vitoB $CEIX $BTU I think you're correct on that from what I've read today.
  • wineinquirer: @scottrades $CEIX $BTU ?any source of news you can identify, Scott. Makes sense but can't find documentation. Hope Christmas was festive and have a peaceful start to 2023!
  • phgruver: @wineinquirer $CEIX $BTU TD Ameritrade, via Bezinga, is blaming it on an uptick in COVID cases in China. I guess there's concern that China will go back into lockdown mode.
  • scottrades: @wineinquirer $CEIX $BTU I can't find it at the moment, but I do remember them mentioning it on IBD Live today.
  • scottrades: $BTU Trying to curl higher on the daily chart. Good volume
  • mharps: $BTU added but still small
  • Rockstar: ...
    The metals closed above the 50 day EMA yesterday after testing monthly support so there is some potential here as well. I am watching $FCX here as it is forming a high base. The $XLB closed above the 50 day EMA and I am watching $FCX, $DOW and $NU ...
  • traderbren: $BTU - looking constructive as it works to reclaim the 20d.
  • bla00109: $UNG I'm using this instead of Rocky's $BTU for wheel trades. This is volatile but the options are more liquid with narrower spreads. Own 500 shares @ 19.8. Rolled my 16Dec $23 calls to 23Dec, same strike @ net $0.22 (57% annualized return on this weekly premium). I'll recheck this Mon and Tue to see if I should have delayed the sales of these short calls like Rocky advocates.
  • bigbartabs: @bla00109 $UNG $BTU ... I use $UNG to trigger buys of $BOIL. A buckin' bronco... but if you can keep up with your alerts, and not let it get away from you... it works. All the best...
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Watch the 50 Day $QQQ Breakdown from the wedge $UUP Watch the 200 Day $XLE Holding the 100 EMA $OIH At the 50 Day $XBI Tight along the MAs $TLT Stopping near the 200 Day $AAPL Breakdown $TSLA Lower Highs $FSLR Above the MAs $ENPH Around the 21 EMA $ARRY Sold this today $TNK Above the 50 Day $NOG At the 100 EMA $MODN New Weekly high $CEIX Flag $BTU Needs to tighten up
  • phgruver: Looking back, over my shoulder, as it were, I noticed that $BTU has pulled back from a high of $32.89, on 11/30, to a low of $27.09 on 12/12, a 17.6% decline. It is now seeming to find support at the 50dma, trading for the 3rd day in close proximity. Interestingly, though, the 50dma hasn't been relevant for the past 6 months, however, the lower Bollinger Band has provided support the 4 previous times that it was touched. Not something to take action on, but something to watch.... Coal is still the most hated energy source in the world, and the enemies of coal are implacable!
  • vitoB: @phgruver $BTU ive been building a position in $ARLP on red days for the past month. overall position is negative but div should be coming up soon. have to be realistic on coals. $10 bill in green energy has takenn coal from 82% to 80% , might be fuzzy but something like this.. when you realize that if they spend 50bil more it might get to 50-60% maybe...think about that ...
  • natural: @phgruver $BTU FYI from IBD yesterday: "BTU shares have formed a handle with a 32.99 buy point.. stock is rebounding from its 50-day moving average. If shares retake Tuesday's high of 29.08 that would offer aggressive investors an early entry, with the stock breaking the handle downtrend and getting above its 21-day exponential moving average."
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Base is maturing. The longer the better.
    $INMD -- Scott covered this today. Alert $39
  • Rockstar: ...
    So what do we do now? I am going to be letting the short puts I sold either expire today or receive delivery of some of the underlying stocks. I am okay either way and will let the trades work. There has been some deterioration in the $XLE ETF an ...
  • DAN: Stocks For This Morning Good morning. I will be on IBDLive this morning. Four stocks that are quite interesting to me are $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH and $BTU. These stock all have very solid growth fundamentals and are in good patterns that typically lead to higher prices. Just wanted to let you know. --Dan
  • wineinquirer: @DAN $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU ?What time Dan?
  • scottrades: @wineinquirer $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Starts in a few minutes. https://research.investors.com/ibdlive/
  • Docoof: @scottrades $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Just subscribed for a three week trial to watch Dan!
  • scottrades: @Docoof $MUSA $HRMY $ENPH $BTU Great! The IBD Team is solid.
  • mharps: @swingbound $BTU look at that ix1050
  • swingbound: @mharps $BTU I think I see it ... it looks like the break , thanks .
  • swingbound: $BTU This broke and has been rejected at the 20SMAD and now the same has occurred with the Retracement support level ~ 28.77 . As a result we have much better than 50 - 50 probability that this will at minimum test the 50SMAD almost 5% lower from here . ( ~ 4% is more accurate RHRN to the 50 but it has lifting to do to regain any of these support areas today )
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Still needs more time.

  • swingbound: $AMR is at the 50SMAD in - test .... this is one of many recent tests . Its a short tight wedge here with the 20SMAD as R1 overhead . $BTU has cracked below the 20SMAD and is testing the 61.8 % for support RHRN . A failure lands it ~ 27.13 . These are under some recent pressure . For me this is approaching at least a partial stop level short term so today's close is important .
  • MongosPawn: @swingbound $AMR $BTU Looks like AMR has a $5 dividend on 12/14. You'd think that there'd be buyers at this point. Or maybe I'm missing something.
  • swingbound: @MongosPawn $AMR $BTU My thought was coal my follow oil but I'll defer to others on those points . Leaving a position or full position on at base support can ruin a person's morning , that much I know from experience . best , Will
  • phgruver: @Niche $AMR Coal is really tough, right here. The chart for $BTU and $CEIX look very similar. At least $CEIX pays a 5.84% dividend.
  • swingbound: @phgruver $AMR $BTU $CEIX The one big difference I see is $CEIX is working on another Monthly breakout , having its Monthly broken out previously this March . Whereas $BTU is much lower in its pattern and still in its Monthly Cup , its working on a Weekly breakout . Presumably the Monthly might be a more powerful pivot to overcome and with more juice than the Weekly .
  • Gpinewild: @maracom $BTU Thanks for the explanation. So this is a calculation for each week.
  • kycol: @Gpinewild open the option chart , say for $BTU; pick 1st Friday Weekly & select it; look in the upper right corner of the Option page; you should see something like 75.09%(+/-1.283); ignore the percent, the implied move is /-1.283. That is good from when you look at it during trading hours until options are closed on Friday. Works in all the other option periods too. It changes as traders trade options during the day. And, there is a big time decay near the end of the week in weekly options & that’s what we hope to sell. PS: in a normal trending market, you can sell going into a 3-day weekend for next week & gain 3 extra days of time decay — I don’t do this in this volatile market RHRN.
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Stopped out at 29.45 for a break even trade. As I see this, it’s looking like $BTU will be holding above the 50-day moving average. Still in the basebuilding phase. No rush to buy here.
    $AMR -- Stop remains at 156.60. Holding up.
    $ ...
  • Enrique: @DAN $REGN $SPY $QQQ $ASO $OLLI $SIG $MUSA $M $DBI $GME $CWH $CRM $TH $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Your website needs some TLC. Strategy session is blocking and can't be viewed
  • Hemal: @DAN $REGN $SPY $QQQ $ASO $OLLI $SIG $MUSA $M $DBI $GME $CWH $CRM $TH $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Hey Dan, we are unable to access video for SS today 12/7/22
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Stopped out yesterday for a break-even trade. If you were taking some profits along the way, you're in good shape. If you just adhered to the stop, you are not in bad shape -- you just didn't profit on the trade. It happens. Watch for a r ...
  • phgruver: @mogo $BTU $BTU is a tough call! Coal is going to be in demand for the next 6 months, but it's still the most hated energy source in the world. Also, as it doesn't pay any dividends, your only profit will come from capital appreciation.

    So, the qu ...
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Stopped out at 29.45 for a break even trade. As I see this, it’s looking like $BTU will be holding above the 50-day moving average. If you have not sold, I’d suggest hanging onto it to see if it will rebound. If the stock falls ...
  • DAN: Live Session at 8 am PT / 11 am ET Good morning. Today's training session begins at 8 am PT / 11 am ET. Stops on the active trade ideas are unchanged. I will be covering each of these stocks during the session: $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Here is the link to the training session: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84851109626 Hope to see you there. --Dan
  • maracom: Good morning all! Was out last week, cashed out any high risk trades and set-and-forgot some stops. Missed the move off of the Powell speech. I'm in about 30% energy mostly $DVN $BTU, 30% metals $GDX $NEM $SLV $AA $FCX, 10% solar $RUN $ENPH, and 30% ...
  • maracom: $BTU breaking the 8EMA. I'm stopped out of a partial
  • phgruver: @maracom $BTU ...and I just added. You were probably right to ditch it, and I hope I'm proven right to have added. It all depends on the entry and the time frame.....
  • maracom: @phgruver $BTU I've come to hate buying pullbacks to the 8 EMA. It's such weak support and breaks so often. I'll often buy tests of the 20/50/200SMAs but on the 8 I'll just wait for phase 3 to recapture the previous high
  • phgruver: @maracom $BTU I agree, but I'm looking at $30 as a major support level. If I'm wrong, I'll ditch it too. :-)
  • natural: @phgruver $BTU Beware the gap down to $29.38.
  • maracom: $BTU looks like the test of the 8 was reasonably successful, I bought back my partial at break even and put my new partial stop at LOD
  • maracom: @maracom $BTU aaaaand stopped out again. Gonna wait for the 20sma
  • maracom: @swingbound $VLO $MTDR $DVN $XLE very reasonable short term analysis. My time horizon for $DVN is off the weekly, so my stop is below the 50 week SMA. But I definitely trimmed my $BTU today. Even though I think there's plenty of secular reasons for energy to continue up, it's a crowded trade and agile trading will most likely be rewarded
  • swingbound: @maracom $VLO $MTDR $DVN $XLE $BTU Thanks for keeping me posted .. we'll watch for the Weekly as things setup .
  • mogo: Was the Active Trades List stopped out of $BTU today?
  • Henry: @mogo $BTU The stop was $29.45 so it should have been. Maybe it will morph into one of those things we need to keep track of.
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU - 29.45
    $AMR - 156.60
    $VRTX - 308.39
    $CPRX - 15.40
    $ENPH - 279.50
    $TMDX - 54.20
    $SHOP - 37.00

    Have a good day.

    --Dan
  • Nepenthe: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP I don't see $VRNA on the ATL. Wasn't that added yesterday? Cheers.
  • Kid2old: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Email at 7:55 am (PT) I did not see in Forum
  • DAN: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA My apologies. I can't find that post. What were the prices, Nepenthe? I'll put it on there. I have a small position in it, so I'm sure I mentioned it somewhere....just can't seem to find it.
  • Kid2old: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Active Trade Bulletin: Verona Pharma ($VRNA) Verona Pharma ($VRNA) is breaking out of a squeeze. I'm putting this on the Trade Ideas List: Basis: 13.47 Stop: 11.20 suggested maximum stop. --Dan
  • marklpearson: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA email yesterday morning 9:55 am
  • Nepenthe: @DAN $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA What Kid2Old posted. No worries. You emailed it and then I believe the website had issues. Cheers.
  • DAN: @Kid2old $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Thank you!!
  • DAN: @Nepenthe $LLY $BTU $AMR $VRTX $CPRX $ENPH $TMDX $SHOP $VRNA Thanks! It's up now. 8-)
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU - 29.45 - 29.58 - 2022-11-07 - 29.45. Holding the 8-day ema
    $AMR - 176.64 - 176.70 - 2022-11-07 - 156.60. Sideways drift in a flat base since last May. $180 is resistance. Alert $180
    $VRTX - 308.39 - 309.01 - 2022-11-08 - 308.39. Flat on t ...
  • natural: Thursday special - $BTU on sale today - 3% off!
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY/$QQQ Digestion Day $DIA In trend $UUP At the 200-Day to the downside $GDX At the 200-Day to the upside $XME In trend $TAN Building a handle $SMH At the 200 Day. $IBB Working, see Dan’s ATL Trades $IGV Great volume #Bitcoin Still some Risk $BTU Trend is fine $ARLP Still needs time $FSLR Trend is fine $ENPH On Dan’s ATL $ARRY Whippy $RUN Holding the 8EMA $NVDA Working but still under the 200 Day $ON Wide price action $LSCC Working but also wide $AEHR Bought this today $SNOW Nice work on this in the forum $U Also watch this. $BA Clear resistance $MS Above all the MAs $CPRX Holding the 8EMA $VRTX Trending up along the 8EMA
  • indigo1948: @scottrades - good morning Scott. It is getting hard to hold $BTU with the large profit I have - thinking of moving my stop on half of my position to the 8 DMA. Your thoughts? Have a great day and thank you for your market commentary.
  • scottrades: @indigo1948 $BTU First off, congrats! That's a good problem to have. I would consider selling 1/4 of your holdings into strength. Take some of the pressure off. It's good to let some air out of the balloon and pay yourself for your good work. Then stagger up 3 stops on the rest to levels that you're comfortable with and let it work. GREAT JOB!!
  • indigo1948: @scottrades $BTU - excellent suggestion Scott - thank you.
  • DAN: ...
    $BTU -- Basis 29.45. 7% gain now. Stop at 29.45 to lock in a worst-case break even on the trade. Weekly chart shows the true picture. Expect price fluctuation around a key resistance zone. Alert $33
    $AMR. BAsis 176.64. Stop at 156.60. Locks ...
  • scottrades: Early Strength in $BTU
  • DAN: Now would be a good time to add to $BTU.
  • scottrades: @DAN $BTU 3 Days of short interest.
  • Margi1983: @DAN $BTU Thanks. We also have $ARCH bouncing off the 50 ma and the midpoint of 143 on the weekly chart. Looks like a possible pull back and bounce trade
  • lauralynnee: @DAN $BTU For those of us who missed the initial entry and are without a current position to add to, is this also good place to open one?
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Stock Price $24.25
Change 2.80%
Volume 2,073,840

Peabody Energy Corporation is involved in mining. It mines, prepares, and sells thermal coal to electric utilities and metallurgical coal to industrial customers.

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