Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

Strategy Session September 19th, 2018

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  • debeers: $ELF/$ULTA-Look--maybe you cannot afford to splurge right now but there are such things as affordable luxuries: Cosmetics in good companies that are DOMESTIC will thrive IMO. A long time ago i said- "Put the dishes on the shelf----be a tasty dish yourself." 1. Good skin is in as are things that makes you look prettier--no matter if you are a guy or a gal. 2. There are NO PROGRAMS WHICH OFFER REWARDS TO CUSOTMER5 FOR LOYALTY that should suffer 3. Smart companies which show you how to apply product are the best 4. i especially like the companies with successful "inflencers." 5. There is nothing as insecure as teenage girls and i t6hink you can make book off of it. 6. All of the above IMO.- should have said "influencers."
  • Henry: @debeers $ELF $ULTA Do you prefer one over the other?
  • debeers: $ELF/$ULTA here you go,@Henry 1 year return is 129.03% for Elf 74.13% for Ulta 3 year return 466.15% for ELF 91.29% for ULTA 5 year return 1,038.40% fior $ELF 91.29% for ULTA You do the math, H. nevertheless---BOTH BETTER THAN A SHARP STICK IN THE EYE and sice "vanitas vanitas et omnia vanitatum", nothing has changed since the days of the Romans. Also, if anything, the audience has widened dramatically IMO.
  • woodman: @Henry $ELF - Wow, $ULTA! No position in that but I'm holding $ELF.
  • Henry: $ULTA up $40 on earnings. np
  • debeers: ...
    $ELF/$ULTA
    $BA finally caught an upgrade----. Its about damn time: News to you--- they don't need China-
    They neede to start knocking out the damn planes.
    Hard to say about the chips IMO
    $AAPL/$BA/$ELF and $ULTA/ $PANW-
    Slivver of gold
    $PANW-especia ...
  • joelsg1: @debeers $ELF $ULTA $BA $AAPL $PANW $MSFT $HD $PANW ATH-L.
  • gmj: $ULTA started a new position today curling nicely on the wkly and b/o on the daily at 417 and its the right season T450
  • debeers: $ULTA/$ELF-Oliver Chen is the top retail analyst that i have ever relied on. And per Oliver it is skin and beauty that will be the top of the heap this Christmas season---not clothes so for all of you who want to stay in a trade for awhile, leave the dishes on the shelf, be a tasty dish yourself. IMO
  • champ: $ULTA... had a nice entry off of $385.75.
  • champ: ...
    ....however I took full profits on these bounce-Day-trades....$TQQQ $URPO $SSO $SOXL $INTC $EXPE $MSFT $HLF $TSLA $HSY $ULTA....and I hope I can add back on Monday.....
    ....and I'm sorry to say, that I missed all the others, I thought that I was too ...
  • champ: $ULTA...fell back to $394...I did get back-in, for another trade.
  • LeAf: @champ $ULTA what is your outlook on this? A pre position anticipating a break of the 50d
  • champ: @LeAf $ULTA ...I had a post yesterday....and I got back-in for another #Spec-trade, after taking profits and this stock needs the Market, just like all stocks, before it will start a better type of move....
  • LeAf: @champ $ULTA #Spec-trade thanks....looked up your post from yeaterday.
  • champ: $ULTA...I took small profits and because I didn't want to swing, with a small cushion.
  • champ: $ULTA......follow the money, the $$$$......
  • champ: $ULTA is HOD.
  • Dig44north: @champ $ULTA ER 30 Nov, maybe another earnings run? np
  • champ: @Dig44north $ULTA....Yes could be, kinda early but I'm in with a small-Spec- swing....because the new News today was, Evercore-ISI came out an initiated, with an Outperform-rating, plus they also came-out with a price target at $460...... ....and that could start things rolling/could start a zig-zag move up the Wall of Worry and this stock has always been a zigzagger, before ER..??... ....and as usual, stocks never do what we expect them to do, so we always need to be careful. LOL
  • champ: $ULTA..$417....looks like they are getting ready for that Big dance on Friday, extending its bounce off its lowest price level since June..... ~~~~~Could watch all of these pretty Ladies dance........
  • traderbren: $ULTA - getting close to filling the downside gap at 427.17 NP
  • champ: $ULTA...HOD....could turn into a real nice #Pre-earnings mover..and I'm holding a small swing, waiting to add-on.
  • champ: $ULTA....HOD....and this could be #Entry-timing day, for a #Pre-earnings move.... .......Watch for a small Entry that will Hold and then Build........
  • Dig44north: @champ $ULTA #Pre-earnings yes, it looks like it is moving towards the 100/200d at $482. Nice run into ER
  • champ: @Dig44north $ULTA #Pre-earnings ....Need to have a #dance-Plan....because this stock is also a dancer......I always need to #Pre-figure-Out how I'm going to handled all of the zig-zags........can work with small #numbers........ .....because 20 here and 20 there, will Build me a nice position, at a price level, that will work for me,...........however I Never want to be in a position, where I have to pick-up my marbles and go home, with my head hanging low, so I always have to play my way, the way Fast Eddie taught me. Could also trade around a Core-position........ ........because the Markets are all screwed-up.....because Traders are in Charge..... ...because #Computerized-trading, those computers, are #set-up to just keep dragging #their Profits-off, with small #Continuous-moves, over and over and over and over and they never stop. LOL
  • champ: $ULTA $DKS....my Retail trades are both Green this morning...and $WMT is down a little.
  • Dig44north: $ULTA still moving into E, 24 Aug amc…thru 21 d decisively, solid move today
  • champ: $ULTA...$558....upgrade to $640, ER on 8/24.
  • champ: @Dig44north $ULTA ...Yes looks like... could be starting a #Pre-earnings move.
  • Dig44north: $ULTA…nice move, trying to take 50d…possible earnings run 24 Aug? 100, 200d higher, small position
  • mopick: $ULTA, added. Clear sailing up to $480.
  • wijimmy: @DAN .. $ULTA was crushed on 5/25 due to ER.. it's slowly filling the gap up.. also received a few upgrades after ER... $ULTA is close to breaking threw 50day on weekly ($461) and the 200day on daily ($472) The 50 day is above the 200 day on both charts... @DAN your thoughts on $ULTA chart would be greatly appreciated
  • mopick: $ULTA. another upgrade. In from below.
  • traderbren: @debeers $ELF - LOL ...well said. @Woodman family has been propping up this stock. When they flip their buying habits to $ULTA, I will follow. ;-) Sadly, no position in $ELF but I did trade it on multiple occasions.
  • debeers: @traderbren $ELF $ULTA -1st rate CUT- slivver of ULTA but i have to say ( as a makeup snob!) some of the $ELF stuff is terrific.
  • debeers: @traderbren $ELF $ULTA -there is no beter techie ( or nicer person) in the forum than @Woodman-not IMO-fact.
  • woodman: @debeers $ELF $ULTA - You are much too kind to me. I hope you don't get mad at me for respectfully disagreeing with you, as there are many excellent "techies" and extremely nice people here (and many here with a variety of skills I wish I had), but I appreciate your sentiments nevertheless. (Oh, and thanks for making me blush.)
  • Roadrunner: $EL swinging from yesterday $ULTA looking to close gap - np
  • champ: $NFLX ..$ULTA...both are still working....Trailing.
  • bigbartabs: @champ $NFLX $ULTA ... I presume by trailing, you mean a % fall stop?
  • champ: PLL and $ULTA....both are HOD.
  • champ: @champ $ULTA...$PLL....
  • traderbren: $ULTA - starting to chew into the upside gap.
  • wijimmy: @traderbren $ULTA.... Fintel reports that on June 13, 2023, Loop Capital upgraded their outlook for Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) from Hold to Buy . Analyst Price Forecast Suggests 27.91% Upside As of June 1, 2023, the average one-year price target for Ulta Beauty is 543.52. The forecasts range from a low of 353.50 to a high of $672.00. The average price target represents an increase of 27.91% from its latest reported closing price of 424.91.
  • champ: $ULTA...HOD..up $17.40....working nicely today, nice slow, small moves...
  • champ: @champ $ULTA....working off of 2-upgrades this morning.
  • vitoB: @Docoof $S 59er er of the day, 13.24 lows of March, 12.69 lows of year. corporate (headquarters in EU) just put this on my phone last year, big contracts just slower.also $ULTA looks like it wants to kiss 400 but could be a good snap trade today.
  • scottrades: $ULTA potential rebound trade.
  • wijimmy: @scottrades $ULTA ..I'm in ...Slow moving and Low volume... should close the gap due to earnings overreaction IMHOP...
  • Rizen1020: @scottrades $ULTA $ELF same sector, but ELF looks like a decent spot here
  • Henry: @debeers $FB #OT Thanks kid. You missed my post yesterday, what happened to $ULTA's earnings?
  • Henry: @DeBeers $ULTA As our cosmetics expert, what happened to this one?
  • traderbren: $ULTA - #Gap magnet at 356.25 to close the downside gap. ;-)
  • traderbren: @traderbren $ULTA #Gap - the first gap is 435.50 and then 356.25 We will close the 1st gap today.
  • vitoB: @traderbren $ULTA #Gap wanted to trade this for so long. looks like .50 fib retracement 443.40 was clipped, 416.80 is .618, seems too extreme but this market is vicious to big red days, any bounce back to 443.40 is the trade IMO for today
  • wijimmy: $ELF, $ULTA …. can it be this obvious and simple ?? $ELF beat and crushed estimates and give a positive outlook for the future… So, a company in the same space That is 5 times larger should do the same today after the bell…$ULTA.. $ULTA .. I hate that all analysts agree and expect it… What do you ..Worth a watch.. ???
  • wijimmy: @wijimmy $ELF $ULTA … https://stocks.apple.com/AqdO4m2BpQXGYNKspO-GWXg
  • issues: $ULTA drops 50 points in the AH on earnings. I had hoped that it would do what $NVDA did but it did the opposite. I am still holding for better days.
  • wijimmy: @issues $ULTA $NVDA $ULTA Q1 Revenue: $2.63 billion beat estimates of $2.62 billion Q1 EPS: $6.88 beat estimates of $6.87 Ulta Beauty narrowly beat estimates and raised full-year 2023 guidance, but the company's forecast is still below analyst expectations. Ulta raised its revenue outlook from a range of $10.95 billion to $11.05 billion to a range of $11 billion to $11.1 billion versus estimates of $11.12 billion. "While we expect the operating environment to continue evolving, we remain confident in the resilience of the beauty category and in our ability to drive share and profitable growth with our proven business model, a diverse, best-in-class assortment, an industry-leading loyalty program, and our world-class team," said Dave Kimbell, CEO of Ulta Beauty. Ulta ended the quarter with $636.4 million in cash and equivalents. Merchandise inventories rose year-over-year to $1.75 billion from $1.57 billion. The company said it repurchased $285.8 million in common stock in the first quarter.
  • wijimmy: @wijimmy $ULTA $NVDA....$ULTA could be 1 to watch in the morning Could be a knee jerk reaction here .. She is recovered a little during the CC.. which sounded upbeat
  • champ: $ELF...$84....she has a big Date today, after the close and $ULTA is getting her ready.
  • psa512: $ELF earnings may be a insight for $ULTA earnings
  • jonwest88: @psa512 $ELF $ULTA from your keyboard to God's ear
  • psa512: @jonwest88 $ELF $ULTA Do you have a position in $ULTA
  • wijimmy: @champ $ELF #Pre-earnings ... Watching $ULTA also reports Thursday after Bell ..... Hate when the public agrees.... $ULTA ..Beauty & the Beats: Ulta Set to Outperform Consensus, Analyst Paints a Pretty Picture $ELF .E.l.f. Beauty Fiscal Q4 Results Likely to Top Expectations on Strong Beauty Backdrop, Oppenheimer Says
  • champ: @wijimmy $ELF $ULTA #Pre-earnings....Yes sir and I'm holding a small $ULTA position, looks like they are both waiting for a move to start...... .....on $ELF I started a nice size position this morning. .....#Thanks for that info and I have both parked next to each other. ~~~~~Hope-trades............
  • champ: $TSLA $PLL $ZION $AI $BE $SHLS $DNUT...for me I'm still holding these swings and also I'm trading around my Core-positions...... $ELF $ULTA .....plus I'm still holding both off these Day-trades, might swing, don't know....... .....and I took profits on all my other Day-trades.....might add-back..
  • champ: @champ $TSLA $PLL $ZION $AI $BE $SHLS $DNUT $ELF $ULTA.....I'm also still holding $LBRT $CMC and $DRI....and all of these stocks are from below. ....No Flash....and I'm also holding a huge Cash position, that is Waiting for some type of Trading action.
  • vitoB: @vitoB $FL was lookin for too much on this one, 59er mostly dead but CEO is appearing on TV and she has been known to sandbag and buy stock at $ULTA..was on the slope of hope but the 59er trade is over,
  • champ: $ULTA at $491, and She's starting to look good again, at around this current price level, however it is still early......and she will be reporting her earnings on Thursday after the close, on 5/25/after..... ~~~ $ELF....and this lady will also be reporting her earnings on Wednesday after the close, on 5/24/after. .........and Both are watching each other and my guess is, both will beat on their Earnings reports and I will be swinging positions into ER's on both. Watch for Entries....and this is going to be a #hard Day on both.
  • champ: $ULTA...she is getting some green bars on the 5-minute...7 now.
  • debeers: THE KNOWN VERSUS THE UNKNOWN-$ULTA is a great co BUT andthis is a big BUTT, $TPR has already reported and is an amazing company.
  • champ: @champ $UTLA .......$ULTA.
  • champ: $ULTA....Watch for Entry....because of a #Pre-earnings move and if anyone thinks, that this is going to move #without any zig-zags .....maybe they better go find another type of job.
  • debeers: @champ $ULTA #Pre-earnings #without -The beauty of $ULTA is that it captures hi and low end consumers.
  • champ: @debeers $ULTA #Pre-earnings #without....In the World of Traders and Investors, this is a huge target... because of Earnings and that has been going on now..for years.
  • champ: $NFLX $NVDA $SMCI $ULTA $META $CRM.....a lot of new $$$ were made again today......and it also....sure feels like there were New millionaires made again today, the young crowd are still getting into the Markets....... ......and the next #Set-up is pending, in the Next.. 0 to 10 days or so....because we should get.... #Sell-the-News, at some point.
  • sierramp: $ULTA sure is making a statement.
  • traderbren: @sierramp $ULTA - yep, I did consider a taking a quick short position, but decided to go with $DFS instead. Short $DFS for a trade.
  • scottrades: My notes: $SPY Holding the 50 Day $QQQ Trend is up $GDX Lots of Earnings Next week $XHB Holding the 21 EMA $XLY MAs stacked $XLK Holding the 50 Day $XLC Trying to break out $IBB At the 200 Day $BLOK Holding the MAs $BITO Support at the 50 Day $AMZN Earnings $AAPL At resistance $META Earnings Gap $MSFT Working $GOOGL Watch 109 $NKE Mentioned in COTD $MARA Support at the 200 Day RIOT Holding the 21 EMA $HUT Low Dollar Miner $COIN Lagging $CRM Holding the 21 EMA $ULTA Holding the 21 EMA $MHO Holding the 21 EMA $TOL Watch yesterday's low $LEN Same
  • woodman: @natural $HIMS - HIMS $ELF $COTY $ULTA - seeing a pattern in this area....
  • sierramp: $ULTA has had periodic, consistent buys throughout the day
  • champ: @Docoof $ELF $COTY...$ULTA...Yes sir..and I have all 3 parked next to each other.
  • DAN: A few stocks I am watching: $VRA -- fairly new uptrend on the X-axis (though it's doubled since Oct.). Pushing through $6.00 resistance today. $BBW -- still a bit volatile, but starting to tighten up. $FIVE -- put that out earlier this today. $URBN -- still needs to pinch a bit...but it's showing a decent setup (just not yet). $FSLR -- holding $200. $EXTR -- building right side of base. Up today. $ALGM -- good company. Really straightens those teeth out. $SCPL -- 50-day MA support $ULTA -- a bit too steep last week but holding at the 50-day MA now. Could be a good setup. $DRI Plenty more...I just got tired of typing. [By the way, I was kidding about $ALGM. They are a semi company.]
  • champ: @DAN $VRA $BBW $FIVE $URBN $FSLR $EXTR $ALGM $SCPL $ULTA.....$DRI, at $151 and this restaurant chain, owns Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse restaurants....and they had a nice beat and also raised on all lines, on 3/22...... .....and they even raised Q3 comps up plus %2B11.7%....and I'm holding a position. I eat there every week. ~~~This is a quick note, after I saw your post.
  • scottrades: $ULTA New Weekly High
  • traderbren: @Woodman - $ELF continues to chug higher, thanks to your family, while $ULTA looks like it wants to push to new highs, thanks to @Dan for all his grooming products so he can look good on TV. ;-)
  • woodman: @traderbren $ELF $ULTA - That's funny. (Don't tell anyone, but my wife and daughter told me they don't use ELF products.)
  • DAN: ...
    $ULTA -- starting to form the right side of a base along the 50-day moving average.

    $LRCX and $SWKS -- Courtesy of woodman in the forum yesterday: Squeezing along the 50-day moving average and potential breakout stocks. We just need to see continue ...
  • scottrades: $ULTA trying for a Day 2
  • joelsg1: @DAN $META $NVDA $AAPL $MSFT $ANET $SGML $AMD $AI $ULTA $LRCX $SWKS Cramer teased charts tonight that will "blow your mind", no pressure.
  • scottrades: $ULTA HOD off the 50 Day.
  • debeers: $ELF vs $ULTA Hate to confuse anyone with the facts but here goes: 1 year return for $ELF 207%/3 year return for $ELF 736%/ 5 year return for $ELF 317% 1 year return for $ULTA 29.8%/3 year return for $ULTA 189%/5 year return for $ULTA 154% Both have healthy Insti support (insti support is those forlks who supposedly know what they are doing. But i ask you, given the above, where are you more likely to make money?
  • debeers: $ELF/$ULTA Lastly no misses for either in over 4 quarters.
  • Boone.ruth: @debeers $ELF $ULTA long . Appreciate your imput
  • vitoB: @debeers $ELF $ULTA I'd actually say the $ELF has gone too far. This is a cosmetics company not a tech. Eventually the law of large numbers make growth more challenging. . $ULTA better valuation and more profitable. But I'm not interested in either. Nothing wrong with the charts for now.
  • woodman: @vitoB $ELF $ULTA - Every time I looked at ELF and ULTA last year when I was very bullish on it, I wanted ELF. There seemed to some debate about that some time ago, but the chart told me what I needed to know. I was buying it as early as August last year in the mid/high 30s. Traded around a core at times, but mostly just added and held for a while until I started to decrease my position to lock in more profit. I did miss some of the move as a result, but it worked out well. I sold the last of mine except for a small amount back in February in the 70s. With this breakout, I've bought some back. Good volume on Friday. We'll see what happens....
  • woodman: $ELF $ULTA - by "it" I meant $ELF. I never bought any $ULTA during that stretch (and don't have any now though the squeeze does look interesting here).
  • debeers: $ARDX if you cannot believe Woody on this one--who has personal experience with kidney stuff----than who??***/$BA/$ELF/$HES/$HSY/$JPM/$SCHW/$SLB-Energy. badly lagging will play catch up (or catsup if i'm wrong), $HSY on good days you celebrate with it and on bad days you need it, $JPM not collapsing, $SCHW has the assets to weather whatev happens, $SLB partner with $HES. i like both $ULTA and $ELF more than the apparel guys now because masks are coming off (except in doctors' offices). Remember, your skin is your biggest organ. Take care of it. LONGS ALL i think $ARDX closes at or near the high.
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Stock Price $519.18
Change 1.10%
Volume 71,049

Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrances, Inc. is a beauty retailer that provides one-stop shopping for mass and salon products and salon services in the United States.

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