Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT)

Strategy Session September 18th, 2017

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WMT Weekly Chart

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  • DrScience: $WMT is working through the 7th trading day in a 5% Volatility Squeeze at the 200 DMA, threatening to break higher. Consumer appetite for continuing to spend, spend, spend in the New Year has yet to materialize, but if/when the company reports holiday sales better than expected, the stock could see a nice push through the overhead 50 DMA at 159 and start to fill the $8 earnings gap down from mid-November.
  • DavidK: $WMT- there it finally goes. Holding 40 Jan 155 calls . Needs to move up and thru 155 this time
  • traderbren: $WMT - reclaiming the 200d
  • DavidK: @debeers $COST if you like $COST at a pe of 45 and growing 9% then $WMT at a PE of 25 and growing 10% seems like a better play . Sam’s clubs have prime beef and all the other stuff $COST has only somewhat better in my opinion.
  • Henry: @DavidK $COST $WMT two years ago Carter Braxton Worth declared COST overvalued and recommended swapping into WMT. Sadly I did and missed the last 200 bucks on COST 😠
  • DavidK: @Henry $COST $WMT I bought Jan 155 Wal mart calls . Not working yet . Might have to go further out in the year . I am not chasing Costco here.
  • debeers: $WMT vs $COST for @DavidK and always brilliant @Henry Dave thanks for your OPINIONS; however here are the facts: COSTCO WALMART yr to date 44.20% 7.29% what about 3 years? 79.99% 4.23% what about 5years? 219.43% 65.61 These are the stats----take from them what you will. Hope this helps.
  • DavidK: @debeers $WMT $COST understand that cost has been the better play by miles . Going forward , maybe not .
  • debeers: @DavidK $COST $WMT -Nor should you. But stats don't lie.
  • DavidK: $WMT $TGT - so Wal Mart down 1% and Target up about 2% . I guess my 155 target for $WMT isn’t happening today . Have Jan 155 calls
  • DavidK: $WMT bought Jan 155 calls yesterday. Up 16% . If this market keeps going up everyday , beaten down companies like this one should follow the upward path .
  • DavidK: $WMT- tripled my call position Let’s see what happens . See 155 on the chart easily .
  • Auto: $CLSK $CSCO $CCI $GASS $NUE $WMT $BIRK $MSTR $COIN added early staying late daily
  • Auto: $WMT back to the E drop watching for break to add $159.45 daily
  • Auto: $GASS $WMT $META added early staying late
  • Zimzala: $WMT Added some to a LTA at $155.
  • traderbren: @Zimzala $WMT - nice test of the 200d and now printing a bullish engulfing print. It should reward you in your LTA....as I think the C/call comments were an overreaction.
  • Auto: $CSCO $WMT watching to add daily
  • Auto: $WMT added again long
  • shoredriver: $WMT...beats and gives soft guide....down 6.5%...so far....np
  • DAN: ...
    Good morning. The futures are down a bit this morning after yesterday's reversal. Walmart ($WMT) dropped on disappointing earnings and you nimble traders might look for a quick oversold bounce at the open. Cisco ($CSCO) alo gave us some bad news ...
  • Auto: $SBUX short from the top 5min $CSCO started position from the bottom 5min $WMT started position from the bottom 5min
  • shoredriver: $WMT....Wallyworld reports in a.m...
  • traderbren: $WMT - pushing out of a C&H. Weekly looks constructive especially with a move above 165ish
  • traderbren: $WMT - trading better than $COST. NP
  • phgruver: @traderbren $WMT $COST $RTH $XRT are in a definite down trend. $WMT seems to be bucking that trend. I'd be very cautious....
  • Docoof: @Patrylak $COST It has to do with fears related to what an executive at Walmart told Bloomberg about the impact of the new weight loss drugs the other day: In an interview with Bloomberg, CEO, US Operations John Furner said there is "a slight pullback in overall basket" in terms of items purchased and calories in them. On Oct. 2, Kellanova CEO Steve Cahillane said his company is llooking at challenges drugs used for weight loss could have on the business. https://seekingalpha.com/news/4018408-walmart-ozempic-weight-loss-drugs-impacting-sales A lot of stocks related to snacking, have been getting crushed: $PEP, $KO, $MDLZ. $WMT also
  • traderbren: #Consumer - just took a look at $TGT, $DG $DLTR, $M, $MCD -- yikes! Says a lot about the consumer -- versus $TJX, $WMT, $COST
  • curtis: @DAN $TGT ($WMT is a safer bet). They are getting their act together on app to home or pickup at store delivery. People are downsizing to Walmart based on cost. Starting on September 15th, there will be a lot of people out of work shopping at walmart when UAW is on strike. $TGT meh.
  • DAN: @curtis $TGT $WMT WMT -- Nice uptrend. TGT? "Cleanup on Aisle 5"
  • champ: $ULTA $DKS....my Retail trades are both Green this morning...and $WMT is down a little.
  • champ: $WMT...at $159.35 ....and this looks like it could be #Buy-this-Dip,..RNRH, with Entry-timing, Evercore upgraded to Outperform this morning, before they report their earnings..... .....this drop could #only be...because of #CopyCat-sellers..... ~~~~~Watch for Entry..........
  • champ: $WMT....looks like could be a turn.....RHRN.
  • champ: $WMT...hanging in nicely and the News-flow is really positive, this is #Day-4 for me on this swing.
  • champ: $WMT....back-in for a Trade at $161....earnings on 8/17....Trailing.
  • champ: $WMT...I added...1/4th
  • champ: $WMT...#Walmart...HOD....Upgrade by BoA....
  • champ: $CZR $PENN $GUSH $WMT....I took small Fast profits on these Day-Trades this morning.....I'm out, however I might get back in these positions but #only-if they let me. ....I will not force any Entries...#never.
  • Forexpro: Re: $AMZN Hi, Friends, Bloomberg.com, observing that Amazon Prime subscriptions in the U.S. have flatlined in part due to cheaper competition from $WMT ($98 vs $139 plus a lower threshold for free grocery delivery) reports that my friends in Seattle are negotiating with several carriers to provide free or low-cost ($10/month?) mobile phone service to members. Negotiations are supposedly ongoing with $VZ, $TMUS and $DISH. Not surprised to see that discussions are no longer happening with my $T pals. Not sure what sense this makes even if it comes to fruition in some form, but I'm generally interested in Amazon's shenanigans. $DISH is up nicely pre-market, $T and $TMUS down, $VZ flattish. All the best!
  • Lou: Watching the efforts of option market makers to pin the $WMT close at 150, where there are a relatively large number of options expiring today. I'm short the 150 puts.
  • Lou: @Lou $WMT I was a bit early in the market day in my #PinAction call - now it begins.
  • Lou: Giving it 10 more minutes to see a pin in $WMT but it looks like it's not happening. Will go to plan B and roll or close. my short puts.
  • Lou: There's the $WMT pin into the close. Better late than never. It was waiting for me to almost give up.
  • champ: @Lou $WMT ....weird...kind of eerie...might see some cowboys move in...Giddy-up.
  • Lou: @champ $WMT - nah - just a standard pin.
  • Lou: $WMT short 150 put - incase you're wondering what I did, I rolled it down and out for a week. Got 80 cents to roll it to next week's expiry, at 148. Dropped the put price by 2 points and pocketed 80 cents.
  • Docoof: #News $WMT Walmart raises full-year guidance, as earnings beat on boost from grocery and online businesses. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/18/walmart-wmt-q1-2024.html
  • utex72: $WMT How can I determine the Implied Volatility going into earning tomorrow? Reply, tutorial, video?
  • Motorman: @utex72 $WMT https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501215-implied-volatility
  • Henry: @utex72 $WMT The Implied Move is the closest strike price ($149) of the sum of the call and the put at the nearest expiry which in this case if Friday
  • utex72: @Henry $WMT On the attached chart, I see the last CALL price at $3.60, and the last PUT price at $3.75 for the $150 Strike price. So, the Implied Move = $3.60 %2B 3.75 = +/- $7.35. Is this correct?
  • bigbartabs: @utex72 @Mortorman @Henry ... $WMT... I saw this morning that Walmart is closing a huge amount of stores across the US. The biggest state closing number is Illinois... I presume due to crime.
  • Henry: @utex72 $WMT Since a Forum Upgrade, you can't attach a chart to your post, nor can you edit or delete. I would use the 149 strike since the stock is 149.4 However I am not seeing the same prices as you mention For May 19th I see put and call last trades as 2.34/2.85 = 5.19 It's and estimate, it not cutting with a scalpel, it's cutting with an axe
  • Henry: $WMT If you are using TOS, on the trade page near the top, just under Pairs Trade, is MM over M and a number in yellow. That is the TOS measured move. 5.052. As I write this, WMT is 149.53 so you could use the 150 strike
  • bigbartabs: @Henry $WMT ... yes, the forum is still frustrating... especially when I do a long reply to a post, and it disappears... due to not doing a refresh first. Hoping that someone is near done fixing the problems list.
  • Henry: @bigbartabs $WMT I had to retype one of my replies re WMT. I'd like to see the priority list.
  • Henry: @bigbartabs $WMT $TGT Target had a $500 million hit because of theft
  • bigbartabs: @Henry $WMT $TGT ... I would have never dreamed that our nation would / could ever be in such mess as it is today. Shocks me how much crime (with many other problems) that are being completely ignored by so called leaders in America. God help our family trees through thier life times. It appears that they will certainly need it.
  • utex72: @Henry $WMT I'm currently not using Think of Swim (TOS); just the Power eTrade platform. Thank you for help me with this question.
  • DavidK: @bigbartabs $WMT I think some of my posts are being deleted purposely. Can’t talk about anything other than technicals that might influence market direction .
  • Lou: @DavidK $WMT - as a long term member both here and in OMM, I'd like to assure you that your posts are not being deleted. You could get a scolding if you wander too far from trading topics, in extreme cases, your membership could get cancelled (in many years I've only seen that happen to truly obnoxious posters), but @DAN and staff do not delete off-topic posts.
  • traderbren: #Weekly - some weekly charts to keep an eye on: $PTGX, $RCL, $ARGX, $WMT, $AVGO, $MDB, $ON, $WEN, $DT, $EDU, $FIX, $PCAR, $SWAV, $HEIA
  • vscottg: $WMT #bigcitiesbadforbusiness? Walmart Inc (NYSE:WMT) said it has decided to close four of its stores in Chicago. The retailer said the Chicago stores have not been profitable since the first store was opened nearly 17 years ago. The stores, collectively, have been losing tens of millions of dollars a year, and the annual losses nearly doubled in just the last five years.
  • bwcarnation1: $WMT @vscottg...whole foods announced closing of its store in San Francisco due to theft.
  • DavidK: @vscottg $WMT #bigcitiesbadforbusiness soon , Chicago will Gotham City . Look at the Mayor that was just elected . Big corporations exiting the city and state .
  • Cjauger: $WMT green
  • DavidK: $WMT - CNBC reporting on Walmart investor day and increasing use of robots . Hell , they have millions of robots already in use . The paying customer having to checkout their own goods . Haven’t been in one of those nasty dirty stores since last time I saw only 1 , that’s right , 1 love employee at a checkout counter .
  • DAN: @DavidK $WMT I tend to shop a lot -- just going into the story when I need some things. So I don't have a shopping cart full of stuff. Just running it through the self-checkout is faster by far. I know one of the checkers at my local store and definitely wait in line when she's there. Very sweet lady and she always asks me how Jennifer (my wife) is doing. That's the personal nature of service that I really love. But typically, I just want to scan and run. Personal preference, I guess. 8-)
  • DavidK: @DAN $WMT I do the same ( few items ) at stores that have self checkout . Issue is at Wal marts in my area , very little option other than self checkout and most of the customers using it have no idea how to do it . Stand waiting on the 1-2 employees standing around to come over and give a tutorial .
  • phgruver: @DavidK $WMT I hate $WAL, but there are a few items that they carry that are a far better value than you can get anywhere else, so, periodically, I'll hold my nose and go in. My wife usually opts for a live cashier, if the line isn't ridiculously long. I just tag along with her....
  • champ: $WMT....HOD at $153.25.....in Play today....might continue, getting close to breakout level.
  • Rockstar: ...
    Specific stocks I am looking at for longs are in the health care sector with $JNJ,$ABBV,$VRTX,$MRK,$CI and $UNH on that list. I am also looking at $PEP $COST,$WMT, $TMUS (already long), $NUE $GS and $AXP for longs in the $XLV and $XLF sectors. ...
  • debeers: $LMT-The 2 contracts today pale in light of a missile strike of Poland. No one should care if it is accidental IMO Poland is a Nato Nation. $MTDR-The President has called for more oil drilling. Whaaat??? Long again. $WMT-The consumer is buying less and spending less. The sneaky pete backstop is that the controlling family is always your backstop. 20B buy back and sang the beat and raised song.
  • debeers: BOO HOO ON RETAIL FOR NOW-Considering that you cannot trade down from Walmart, even if $TJX pops tomorrow, $WMT is the safety trade.
  • woodman: $WMT https://endpts.com/walmart-is-next-in-line-on-national-opioid-settlement-paying-3b-for-its-role-in-opioid-epidemic/
  • woodman: @debeers $WMT - Ha! I was thinking a catered lunch for the C-Suite.
  • debeers: @woodman $WMT -Otherwise known as a "tip." The enterprise Value of Walmart is 472B.FYI.LONG
  • scottrades: Some Earnings to be aware of this week: $NVDA $WMT $BABA $HD $ZIM $TSN $TGT $SNDL $SE $PANW $AMAT $MNDY $LOW $CSCO $JD $M $TSEM $SBLK $DNUT $YOU $FREY $TJX $KSS $NU $BJ $JAGX $FL $DNA $ESEA $IMCC $BITF $IMPL $AKTS $OTLY $CAN $NOVN $AAP $NTIC $QFIN $ACM $SONO $FTCH $TME
  • champ: @phgruver $HNST $PG $CL $KMB....Yes sir...like you just said, this is a New company and where is the price of $HNST going to be in January.......and that all depends on how their sales are this year.....and now that they are just recently in $AMZN $TGT $WMT $ULTA $GNC and also New in $BABA....thats the question, how is this New company going to do this year during the Holidays.....and only time is going to answer that question.
  • champ: $HNST...now hanging around $3.00....this new Retailer, (IPO) is starting to look real nice, much better at this current price level, this new IPO has been all beat-up........the forum has a posting thread and also see their Website for Info....and the #Holiday-Sales-Season will be here soon.....and these Retailers are now selling their products...$WMT $AMZN $TGT $ULTA $GNC and they are Now also in $BABA, in China. .....They also have an On-Line business....see their Website for their different product lines, for Home, Baby wear, Diapers, Cosmetics, Beauty bath and body, Gifts, Wellness, and Cleaning products. .......Watch for Entry.......
  • vitoB: I’ll be trading $NKE at the open. Huge initial inventory builds on $TGT and $WMT were bought. Levels 2020 lows $60 3s lower BB 88.33 Set to open below 83. Yea i know they have a bunch of inventory, well they had to order more because they didn’t know what was getting though the ports, also they had to order because of the unknowns shutdowns in china. I think this is a one time thing. Yes lower demand and discretionary spending at a time where they have to discount with a strong dollar. But this is not a systemic problem for Nike and it was down 43% YTD already. DTC is more profitable and anecdotal i like their app. None of this really matters on 59min trades ill be lookin to fill that below 83 up to 88.
  • vitoB: @vitoB $NKE $TGT $WMT now
  • joelsg1: @vitoB $NKE $TGT $WMT Hope it works, but seems similar to $NVDA with moves to clear excess inventory reducing margins, and no bounce.
  • vitoB: @joelsg1 $NKE $TGT $WMT $NVDA BAM! nice when it works out 10:30 closing in out now
  • joelsg1: @vitoB $NKE $TGT $WMT $NVDA Well done!
  • champ: @woodman $HNST. at $3.73...This company is just getting going....and I'm still holding my Core position and I also added back 50% on yesterday...did you see the latest News..???....that they are in China now....and they are working with $BABA...their list is growing real fast and they are also now in $WMT and $ULTA....plus $AMZN and $TGT..... I'm holding a large position, going to hold into January, through the Holidays sales season...because their sales should really pick-up.....they should be supplying these huge Box-stores now...RHRN....because the Holiday sales sessions, starts out on #Black-Friday, 11/25, right after Thanksgiving. .....Have to Build and Hold to be Rewarded......and I have... High hopes for this New IPO/company. LOL
  • woodman: @champ $HNST $BABA $WMT $ULTA $AMZN $TGT #Black-Friday - Thanks for latest info.
  • champ: @akolud $TSLA $GM ....I have $TSLA $GM $F $RIVN $CHPT $BLNK $EVGO $SHLS and all the others, all parked right next to each other, on my EV Watch-List....and I like all of them.... kinda like $BJ $GO $AMZN $WMT $TGT $COST and I like all of these also.
  • champ: @AboveWater $HNST .....I guess you already know, that they are going into China......via $BABA, Hold and Build....because the guess is that this should be a double by X-Mas......then a triple next year.....this is exactly how Growth stocks start there moves..... and they are now in $WMT $TGT $AMZN $ULTA and now they are moving into China...... .......and always expect zig-zags along the way.
  • AboveWater: @champ $HNST $BABA $WMT $TGT $AMZN $ULTA Thank you for the support along the way. Added several time with a cost basis of $3.49
  • champ: @AboveWater $HNST $BABA $WMT $TGT $AMZN $ULTA .....Good work and I have been doing the same....and my cost basis is higher..$3.73 and I'm holding a large position and I'm guessing that I'm Not done building/adding....so my cost basis will slowly climb.
  • champ: $HNST...@ $3.62....has now teamed-up with $BABA, to launch in China, on their E-commerce platform, #Tmall, per WWD on 9/2. For me this is an Investment position... into and through this years Holiday Sales Season...for next years earning reports...they are New in $WMT and $ULTA, also plus $AMZN and $TGT.. ......#Growth stock and I'm Holding and Building.
  • joelsg1: $WMT Working from yesterday's posted entry, Added.
  • joelsg1: $WMT Accelerating from 20 d/w bounce and now above 8d, Added again trailing stops. They are using massive logistics power to keep their stores stocked, unlike others.
  • champ: $COST at $524....might get a real nice $$$.. bounce trade, watch for more HOD's...and on $WMT it looks like a nice % bounce is starting...and it could also continue...... ......looks like a few stock could be spring-loaded for a bounce...... when the Markets starts a trade-able turn....... .......could look for #Pre Set-ups.....ideas..... $COST $WMT $HD and others.....Traders know how all of these type of names, so obviously ....they know that these will be trade-able, at some point......
  • Docoof: @joelsg1 $WMT Nice!
  • joelsg1: $WMT Took partials for 20% gain, rest on tight leash. Now out completely, 30%+ gain overall. Watching for reentry.
  • joelsg1: $WMT Back in, small, 9/23 itm calls.
  • joelsg1: $WMT Out, even.
  • Cjauger: @champ $COST $WMT $HD #Pre $COST looks good
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Stock Price $60.54
Change -0.30%
Volume 4,363,440

Wal-Mart Stores Inc operates retail stores in various formats under 69 banners. Its operations comprise three reportable business segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club.

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