The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD)

Strategy Session September 19th, 2018

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TTD Weekly Chart

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  • Motorman: @bRobert $TTD low volume, still squeezing
  • JBed: @Motorman $TTD Squeezing practically forever. I hope that means a huge move to the upside.
  • Motorman: @JBed $TTD Earnings in Aug, that may be the catalyst. NP at this time
  • JBed: $TTD moving up out of congestion.
  • JBed: $TTD marching higher out of daily squeeze
  • sierramp: @JBed $TTD That's a nice melt-up. Broke above resistance briefly. Maybe the next attempt will be successful.
  • JBed: $TTD Citigroup reiterates buy, lifts PT to $118. Long calls.
  • JBed: @JBed $TTD This follows Oppenhemier's PT lift to $101 the stock is entering a squeeze and tracking the up-sloping 21 MA. Looking for this to explode in the near future.
  • bRobert: $TTD Long term hold. Squeezing. 50d catching up. Very strong underlying support. Expect to see upside breakout soon. Will add to core when thesis correct.
  • bRobert: $TTD squeezing. 50d catching up. VERY strong stock
  • bRobert: $TTD Very strong. Healthy sideways consolidation of monster move/short squeeze. 50d catching up. Watch list for breakout >94.60 and 100+ . targets
  • shoredriver: $TTD inching along to 100
  • shoredriver: $TTD trying to make new high.........
  • Stuart: ...
    $TTD 28% > 50 SMA; $FIVE 27% > 50 SMA ; $MOMO 25% > 50 SMA ; $TWTR 22% > 50 SMA ; $HTHT 21% > 50 SMA

    7 IBD >= 15% but < 20% above the 50 SMA
    $ALGN 19% > 50 SMA ; $BZUN 18% > 50 SMA ; $ZTO 18% > 50 SMA ; $LULU 17% > ...
  • shoredriver: $TTD...nice....
  • traderbren: $TTD -- moving lower based on a downgrade, and general profit taking on the run its had.
  • bizmodal:
  • bizmodal: @traderbren $TTD watching $82.00 as it seems like short term support.
  • traderbren: @bizmodal $TTD - i think market makers may be looking for stops it could be heading lower, especially after the run its had.
  • bizmodal: @traderbren $TTD looks like you are right. I dipped a toe in right at $82 and got out with a small loss at 81.50. Figured I’d give it a shot.
  • shoredriver: $TTD closing in on blue sky......
  • traderbren: $TTD -- coming back to earth.
  • shoredriver: $TTD inching back up after not much of a dip yesterday
  • traderbren: $TTD - today might be the day to consider that short on $TTD. Setting alerts.
  • shoredriver: @traderbren $TTD If it dips I will be buying......
  • traderbren: @shoredriver $TTD - good...that's what makes a market. ;-)
  • shoredriver: $TTD....STILL going
  • shoredriver: $TTD...closing near HOD........
  • shoredriver: $TTD still going...
  • shoredriver: $TTD Green and going up.....
  • traderbren: $TTD - might be the makings of a short.
  • Junior1: @traderbren $TTD On the radar, but it's like jumping in front of a train
  • traderbren: @Junior1 $TTD - it sure is. just continues to defy gravity! I keep setting alerts on the downside so when it turns I can jump on it.
  • spmeyers: @traderbren $TTD normally I restrain my impulse to short way overbought stocks, but lower volume today makes it tempting; anyway I see it's heavily shorted so likely very hard to borrow
  • grcjr: $TTD Watching it slip from the highs toward the bottom of the range, I took profits. Cant stay at the upper 3stdBB forever.
  • shoredriver: $TTD still going.....
  • DAN: @shoredriver $TTD My stop is set at $77.60. Hoping I don't get stopped out...but I'm just leaving the stock alone. I'll let the stop take care of the risk.
  • PJMR11: @DAN $TTD Are you still in DQ? My stop is 57.95 as suggested yesterday
  • DAN: @PJMR11 $TTD Stop on $DQ is 58.10
  • DAN: @DAN $TTD Stop was triggered and filled at $77.62. Small loss. That's trading.
  • PJMR11: @DAN $TTD $DQ Got it. Thanks. What does the low volume today tell us after yesterday's move?
  • singlemalt: $TTD I'm trying to be patient, but it's hard. As I mentioned late Friday when I entered my short, I've seen this movie before (and been in plenty). This WILL come down, just no way of telling when everyone tires of it. I'm darn close. Glad it's a small position.
  • jlmowry01: @singlemalt $TTD I've watched this today for a good entry to short, all the while, missing out on a nice trade to the long side in this first hour!
  • DAN: @singlemalt $TTD Yeah, it will come down. But it is a suicide mission to just stay short into a move like this. We have seen this many times. Recently, $SEDG ramped 16% on a breakout. The next day, it stalled and looked like it might be done going up. The next day, the stock was up another 10%. So just because a stock is up big and fast doesn't mean it's shortable. It might be time to take profits if you own it, but it's not something to short. That's like jumping in front of a train with the assumption that it's going to stop soon. It might. But if it doesn't, the results are somewhat disastrous.
  • singlemalt: @jlmowry01 $TTD Agree there's money on the long side, I just wouldn't feel comfortable walking away from the computer, or a tight stop. I'm not really sure of the dynamics, how buyers outnumber sellers driving up the price at these levels, maybe manipulation by deep pockets? Sometimes these rockets come right back down, other times they stay aloft a while. And depending on the real numbers or deals (buyout, etc), they'll just stay up there. Hasn't been much volume since Friday, although it's picking up some right now. Guess I'll call it a day on this one. Like you said (and certainly Dan has) there are many other opportunities out there.
  • DAN: @PJMR11 $TTD $DQ Low volume...just shows us that the interest in the stock isn't there. And when there is no interest, stocks will fall. This is a breakout that didn't work well. I am still in it because my stop hasn't been hit, and it's a pretty tight stop. But I'm not focusing on it at all.
  • PJMR11: @DAN $TTD $DQ Thanks. Trying to learn everyday.
  • singlemalt: @DAN $TTD $SEDG I'm out with a relatively small loss. Given the move, it was worth a shot, but as you've pointed out, this train hasn't touched the brakes, and appears Casey Jones is driving
  • champ: $TTD @ $80.60 ...nice move from $76.40 ...volume is already just about double the 20 day average.
  • Junior1: @champ $TTD 3 days of hitting the 3rd dev. of BB on this expansion. At some point this will be prime for selling upside calls. But not yet
  • champ: @Junior1 $TTD ---- When it turns, we will know....#CopyCats will jump in.
  • DAN: @champ $TTD And this is precisely why it's critical to have a stop on any shorts with a very clearly defined "worst case scenario." Small scratch rather than a gusher works for me every time.
  • champ: @DAN $TTD ---- Those who know how to trade and are #full-time-traders, always zig-zag, with the stock, with a trading position, around their core position but this is not for most. However, you know how it works....
  • Junior1: @traderbren $TTD I hope you were able to buy back your calls without too much pain.
  • traderbren: @Junior1 $TTD - yep, decided to cover yesterday as it didn't want to roll lower....but it will roll over at some point as this buying pressure will exhaust. I will look to short again when I see signs that buying has dried up. Setting alerts on the downside.
  • Kid2old: @issues $VIRT $ETSY $DQ $EMES $EL $NOW $MZOR $MA $WB $VAC $PRLB $TTD $STMP $FIVE $INSP $VYGR $NOW Here is what I sold or bought today. Sold - $PRLB Stop hit on last of what I held – N.P. Bought and sold $TTD 2.7% profit. N.P. Added to positions, $STMP, $FIVE Started (Stops not hit – Yet!) $INSP, $VYGR, $NOW
  • rachel: ...
    14. $TTD – when you are wrong, close quickly.
    15. $ALTR – breakout?
    16. $HEAR – short squeeze anyone?
    17. $XRT – already covered this. It’s working. It’s an ETF, which trades very slowly. But working.
  • wijimmy: @rachel $LCI $SPX $FFTY $DJI $MDY $IWM $XLF $JPM $MS $GS $DJT $COMPQX $ATHM $BLD $OLLI $AAPL $ABT $DXC $NVDA $DBX $TTD $MNST $MTCH $EL $LGIH $CWH $BLUE $STMP $HAL $GDOT $CBU $PBYI ...... ....LOVE the RECAP...NOTES !!!! THX... { u on the payroll ?? }
  • DAN: @wijimmy $LCI $SPX $FFTY $DJI $MDY $IWM $XLF $JPM $MS $GS $DJT $COMPQX $ATHM $BLD $OLLI $AAPL $ABT $DXC $NVDA $DBX $TTD $MNST $MTCH $EL $LGIH $CWH $BLUE $STMP $HAL $GDOT $CBU $PBYI LOL. Yes, Rachel is on the payroll. She has been with us for more than 10 years, and is indispensable.
  • traderbren: $TTD - watching for a potential short (short-term) trade.
  • Junior1: $TTD keep on the radar... looks to be getting tired up here at these heights
  • Junior1: @traderbren $TTD great minds think alike!
  • Junior1: @traderbren $TTD STO 18May18 80.0 Calls @0.75
  • traderbren: @Junior1 $TTD - nicely done! I'm on your coattails @ 0.70
  • shoredriver: $TTD stock is strong as death...likely a buyout candidate and nice options to sell while you are waiting....
  • Junior1: @shoredriver $TTD I bought back the calls that i sold this a.m.
  • champ: @Ottawagreg $TRHC #metoo --- These type of stocks....are hold positions ...just like $TTD and $ABMD, was when they first started.....not really trading positions.....but they can be....if your a trader and know about #Timing....need to know how it works.
  • rachel: ...
    COTD: $VIRT – recap. Bought last Friday at the close. Sold this morning at $30, and bought back the $30 puts too. $TTD – shorted this with a buy stop above $77.50
    $SPX – ready to rest? All indexes are at top of ranges.
    $IWM &nd ...
  • DAN: $TTD -- short this stock with stop at $71.55.
  • Motorman: $TTD short TTD @70
  • Motorman: @DAN $TTD Thanks was thinking about what limit should be
  • Wykeman: $TTD stopped out..minor loss..will try again Monday am.
  • Motorman: @Wykeman $TTD Glad I had the stop 71.5 where @Dan mentioned
  • Junior1: @Wykeman $TTD High short interest. 6 days to cover, I'm calculating (though, today's volume is pushing 9 fold the avg.). Big squeeze going on.
  • jwgiblin3: $ttd Took profits at 73.5 for call options. Chart still looks strong
  • bizmodal: @Wykeman $TTD I'm in a jam now, tdameritrade wouldnt let me back into my account right after shorting. I'm hesitant to cover but might need to just take the loss and try again later. Will def be complaining to TDA.
  • singlemalt: $TTD really want to open a short position, but I've seen this movie before. Shorts keep having to cover and it can keep going for a while. Last earnings saw a gap up that sold off the next day. Scary to hold over the weekend not know where it'll gap Monday, but I got a bad itch...
  • singlemalt: $TTD well, I guess we know what I am. I just walked into the casino. Opened a short @ $74.82. Not enough to break the bank, but enough to scratch the itch.
  • Motorman: @singlemalt $TTD Thats a nice way to put it! Exactly what I did in the morning.
  • Wykeman: @singlemalt $TTD ...imo, shorts got their faces ripped off today. Had to cover for big losses. So what do many do? Add to their shorts. Dangerous. If this squeezes again Monday it could shoot higher...just my opinion. I have no position yet. I got stopped out for a small lose today. It will go down one day but when? Hope it works for you.
  • Gary: ...
    $TTD – gap and run.
    $NVDA – Don’t ask for higher prices.
    $NFLX – needs a LOT of consolidation. Still working.
    $WB – you should NOT be in this stock. It’s rolling over.
    $AKAM – needs to reset. Alert $77 ...
  • shoredriver: $TTD.....nice.....
  • traderbren: #AH - interesting AH trades as a result of ER - $NVDA - good report, but priced to perfection. $SYMC - off 12%. $TTD - up nicely. $MGM - buyback reported. $DBX - off slightly, but will evaluate tomorrow. $RDFN - off in AH.
  • rachel: ...
    13. $TTD – Gap and crap or run? Up 20%. Do NOT buy this at open. Looking to short it.
    14. $MNST – Stop below $49
    15. $MTCH – take profit at $40
    16. $EL – take profits now. Never ask for more than you are likely to get.
    Re ...
  • bnnybklyn: $TEAM added on the move above 60 long. Find myself back in about 60% now. Full on $PAYC, $MU, $W, $TGH, $TWTR 1/2 on $SMH, $WB, $JD, $ANET, $TTD, $CRM - working...
  • Gary: ...
    COTD: $TTD - rebounding off 200-day moving average. Low risk entry here.
    VIDEO ONE: Market Overview
    US Protectionism will intensify trade issues? Maybe. Probably. How can it not. Everyone loves the status quo...and everyone who loves the statu ...
  • champ: $DJI $SPY ---- I have noticed that markets are slowing my trading down, holding me back and I'm not taking action on trades when its clear that I should....I should have add back my positions on $WMT and $SSO, on the close yesterday and $TTD in the AH's yesterday when it was around $51 because I was right on top of the trade going into earnings and I saw the numbers, the second that they came out......but I took no action....not good... all are mistakes IMO....I posted on them in the AH's but I took #NoAction and all were actionable.
  • indigo1948: @champ $DJI $SPY $WMT $SSO $TTD #NoAction - I have had the same problem lately . I did execute a good trade on $ROKU yesterday after the open but have been very hesitant on my executions since the recent corrective action. I am hoping to revert to a proper mindset for trading.
  • success: @indigo1948 $DJI $SPY $WMT $SSO $TTD $ROKU #NoAction I would bet we are in the majority with those thoughts . . @Dan is correct . . we have to trade what is in front of us and not look back except to learn from our mistakes. . I have been hesitant since the June swoon last year . . got burned on that Friday and have not yet turned that corner to be nearly invested like I should . . average cash position for the last 7 months has been 75% . . . can't look back but also can't try to make up for it . . . . . so your not alone with your thoughts
  • cmaxwel1: @champ $TTD (Finally......) Have held this turd for months. Like the business story, moving from tv to digital ads.
  • champ: @cmaxwel1 $TTD ---- Yes, I agree ...up 23% now.
  • cmaxwel1: @champ $TTD (put a stop at 59.)
  • cmaxwel1: @champ $TTD Out.....
  • champ: @cmaxwel1 $TTD ---- Yes, you have to take the $$$$...Good Work.
  • champ: $TTD......Earnings.... nice beat....running....#Day-9... I would not chase this stock because the stock ran-up into earnings....entry was around $41....but it could keep moving up...??.
  • champ: $TTD ....their she goes....many are chasing now.
  • Robert1965: @champ $TTD are you selling any in the AH
  • champ: @Robert1965 $TTD ---- I'm sorry to say.... that I'm only holding a small position. Holidays sales customers, using their services, I should have knew better but tech stocks are very high risk, to hold into earnings... after this nice run, that the stock had up-to earnings.
  • bRobert: $WDAY big flag. $TTD nice basing after collapse. Going higher. $LOGM Breakout. $SHOP nh $135+ target $VMW nh $RHT breakout The cloud is very sunny.
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Stock Price $USD 123.87
Change 0.66%
Volume 1,225,640

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