Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA)

Strategy Session January 10th, 2018

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  • champ: $AA has bounce $2...off the low.
  • champ: $AA really moving now ...#take-a-look because $GS said Aluminum is going to $3,000.00...this position is going crazy...on News...#Crazy-strong
  • BobbyG: @champ $AA $GS #take-a-look #Crazy-strong Wow I am definitely late to this party. Reports after the bell.
  • champ: @BobbyG $AA $GS #take-a-look #Crazy-strong....Don't really know how this is going to play-out, going into earnings....but I'm expecting #strong-guidance and that is really what everyone ...will be waiting to hear....and that News... will be the key, that will be driving the stock much higher.
  • champ: $AA...HOD
  • rob27: @champ $AA anyone holding over earnings?
  • GOOSE: $AA Earnings announcement seems to be a non-event so far.
  • infocus: @GOOSE $AA Too close to 60, huh? Could be a trade tomorrow? ; >)
  • champ: $AA ...up over $2.50...so far.... @ $61.47 RHRN....but will zig-zag, is my guess.
  • champ: @bigbartabs $LABU ---- You asked about long term positions..?...I was stopped out of all at the start of February, 2018 and I'm not really a believer in long term positions anymore, after the early 2008 crash. Take a look at my posting thread and you ...
  • GOOSE: TRADES: @infocus $AA Earnings tomorrow, AMC Looks like an earnings run. $AA BTC 4/20/18 60.0 CALLS .55 Lost $18 per contract. Got cold feet. Holding the short 51.0 Puts, so far. $HEES STO 4/20/18 40.0 CALLS @.75 Somewhat speculative.
  • infocus: @GOOSE $AA $HEES Great minds...or at least similar. I've been watching closely and knowing that they report tomorrow afternoon, I took the similar approach as you. $AA BTC 4-20-18 60 calls @ .59 Lost $19 per contract. Considered covering it with a stock purchase, with my recent luck, the stock could easily back up considerably. No "slinging" this time!
  • champ: $AA ---- Could move up even higher because the News this morning is....the U.S., ....could increase sanction #again...against...this company UC Rural, they are in Russia. This is kicking up Aluminum prices again this morning...up + $86 and climbing....we have been posting on $AA and the reason why Aluminum has been climbing...this is the reason that I posted about last week...this company is the second largest supplier to the U.S.....it looks like they are now going to add to those new sanctions. If you look at the chart you will see what is going on.... and this is #Day-11. They export a large amounts of Aluminum, to the U.S....but not anymore, this is effecting price RHRN on Alum.
  • GOOSE: @infocus $IQ $AA Heads up, earnings on Wednesday AMC, to the best of my knowledge, 60 Calls.
  • infocus: @GOOSE $IQ $AA You're correct. Thanks for the heads up. I'm inclined to hold, but we'll see what happens tomorrow. Can always roll out or buy the stock (least attractive option). Stay cool ;>)
  • GOOSE: TRADES: $GOOS STO 4/27/18 CALLS @.45 $HEES STO 4//20/18 40 CALLS (NTM) @.60 $AA STO 4/20/18 51.5 PUTS @.35
  • GOOSE: @GOOSE $GOOS $HEES $AA $GOOS CALLS IN ABOVE POST ARE THE 35.5's. I have no electricity, so inputting in the dark and computer battery is dying.
  • issues: @GOOSE $GOOS $HEES $AA EMP?
  • GOOSE: @issues $GOOS $HEES $AA Not sure I understand your post. EMP????????
  • champ: $AA is really outperforming the market and $CENX ...NP ... is negative....both Alum companies.
  • infocus: $AA @GOOSE Nice action about 20 minutes ago...down. ; > )
  • champ: $AA -----OUT....took profits on new news that dropped the stock.
  • GOOSE: $AA #Options If weekend option prices aren't inflated, I am going to look at putting on some short ladders, Calls and Puts on Monday. Options seem to be generous even at Delta's of .25, by my standards anyway. $MU is o.k. too, but uses more margin. Done my homework, now onto the GAME.
  • GOOSE: OPTION EXPIRATION, 4/13/18 $AA 4/13/18 54.0 CALLS EXPIRED Covered Stock Assigned $MU 4/13/18 50.5 CALLS EXPIRED Covered Stock Assigned $GOOS 4/13/18 33.5 PUTS EXPIRED $GOOS 4/13/18 35.0, 35.5, 36.0 CALLS EXPIRED $UVXY 4/13/18 25.0 CALLS EXPIRED
  • Workinman: @GOOSE $AA $MU $GOOS $UVXY My covered $AA calls will probably assigned on 4/20. Stock ran up more than I thought it would. Still will have a nice little trade. I'm waiting on $MU to run higher before selling covered calls again.
  • champ: $AA @ $ $54.60 ...zig-zagging around the recent high...but now moving hard again on News....
  • champ: $AA... the news was on Bloomberg.... about aluminum prices and that bounced the price up $75.
  • GOOSE: $AA Just moved up fast.
  • champ: @GOOSE $AA @ $ $53.60 ....looks like there was a large buy, could be another Institutions adding or a new buy. Aluminum bounced again this morning and is up another $49.... I added a little this morning. I know you have been trading and watching this....I follow you in, a long time ago....Thanks...LOL.
  • GOOSE: A TRADE: $AA BTO STOCK @53.65 Just a starter. to see if it has legs. Above the 3 minute VWAP.
  • GOOSE: A TRADE: $AA Added a little more stock @53.85
  • champ: @GOOSE $AA ---- I had $CENX but I sold and moved those $$$$ into $AA and you can sure see why.
  • GOOSE: @champ $AA $CENX Yah, those 2 big green volume candles, on the 3 minute chart, struck me as shots across the stern, propelling it faster, a take on @DAN's, shot across the bow thinking. ;>)
  • GOOSE: A TRADE: $AA STO 4/20/18 60.0 CALLS @.37 Expires next Friday, and needs 5.5 points to go ITM. Can it? Sure! But I don't think so.
  • GOOSE: @champ $AA That was a while ago kid, but Thanks anyway.
  • Junior1: @GOOSE $AA They are the first to report... next Wednesday. Before expiration.
  • infocus: @GOOSE $AA I like it, and am with you again ; > ) STO $AA Apr 20 2018 60 Calls @ .40
  • champ: @Forexpro #New-Major-Reason #Political #markets ---- Yes, I agree....I posted about those sanctions this morning under $AA and $CENX....at 10:19. That last Missile attack on that airbase in Syria, a year ago had #Russians stationed at the airbase and a few were killed, as you remember. I was posting that another attach like that last one could happen again and the markets were very concerned about that. I trade all the market turns daily....and I post about those turns...I posted that I was in $TNA $SSO and $XPO and others but sold all...like I said on that high turn. Take Care!
  • champ: $AA $CENX ---- Still working off of those Russian sanctions that I posted about yesterday morning...
  • champ: @debeers $CENX --- Thats right...you always have the correct news...but $AA is Outperforming lately and I'm holding both and $X .
  • debeers: @champ $CENX $AA $X - STLD has outperformed $X w.o infra structure and the Congress doesn't seem inclined to get off its tushie to build a formidable wall. $STLD is a cash cow and will outperform on earnings.
  • champ: @debeers $CENX $AA $X $STLD --- I will take a look ...Thanks!
  • champ: $AA @ 53.83 and hit $55.18 this morning ...#Day-7 off the low on 4/2 ....this stock is really strong and could be on a earnings run also.....er is on 4/18. The #Russian-sanctions-on-Aluminum that I posted about yesterday morning is also a major reaso ...
  • champ: $AA $CENX ...both are working...Aluminum prices are climbing... sanctions were imposed on Rusal...this is the largest Russian aluminum company.....this news is getting out. In Russia...Rusal dropped 50% this morning.
  • champ: @riskmanager $DJI --- We had that nice drop this morning and that was entry, for the day and swing traders. If the markets hold today, the markets should be positive again in the morning because the Off-Shore markets will follow the U.S. markets, is my guess. Metal stocks are up this morning...this could also be entry...$X $AA $CENX and others...now that the tariff news is on hold, for now but everyone is still waiting for the next shoe to drop. However, momentum is picking-up....and going into the close today will be very important....for tomorrows open.
  • riskmanager: @champ $DJI $X $AA $CENX Yep, I missed the perfect entry on $AMZN this morning. You could have anticipated that buyers might come in at around 1500, and sure enough they did. Probably a little late now, but missed a great move. There will be others .
  • champ: @riskmanager $DJI $X $AA $CENX $AMZN ---- Make sure you have a buy list ready every morning....that way you won't miss entries but you have to remember the first move usually falls back and in the morning... if we close strong, there will be some profits sellers, at some point but you never know, just need to stay on your toes..
  • baronp0329: @champ - Champ, in your opinion, are the Steel and Aluminum stocks oversold yet? Specifically, $X $NUE $STLD $CENX $AA. Thanks.
  • champ: @debeers $STLD $X ---- Yes, green thats my favorite color. Need to watch both of these also....$CENX and $AA....and $CENX had news this morning, could be because there is less competition in these 2 aluminum names. LOL
  • debeers: @champ $STLD $X $CENX $AA --CENX have had for a long time champ.
  • champ: @ROSEY $X $Nucor ---- #MetalSector ---- You asked me about $NUE in the metal sector and what name would be the best stock in the steel sector. Short answer is ...I don't really know. We had 2 great moves that I posted about. The first one started in ...
  • champ: @PhilHarmonic $DJI ------- #News-for-Profits ----- I always appreciate your comments in the forum ....and I'm going to expand on them. ---- Yes, I agree 100%...thats the whole point, the word is institutions....these Smart money managers, investors a ...
  • champ: $X $AA ---- More news on steep #Tariffs on steel and aluminum, coming out of Asia and #Bloomberg news is saying that a announcement could happen on Thursday, they are reporting. You never know, who or what too believe...it is always hard because the news is mostly #FlakeNews, when they report news on the WH.
  • debeers: @champ $X $AA #Tariffs #Bloomberg #FlakeNews ---We might either see a 18%-20 % or a delay to use the threat as a bludgeon but i am with you that it has to be a tarrif--in which case $MT be dumped in favor of the domestics if anyone owns it. I have token position in $STLD but probably $AKS and$X will benefit the most as they aren't as good as the other and need it more.
  • champ: @debeers $X $AA $MT $STLD $AKS #Tariffs #Bloomberg ---- I'm really not saying that there has be Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum, what I'm saying is that there is going be tariffs. President Trump, tweeted again this morning, it will happen....we just don't know the % size of the Tariffs but there will be a announcement at 11:00 am ET...this morning, be #Aware and I hope everyone has positions in $X $AA $CENX and all the others. I had a post yesterday on $X, that it is #Outperforming, in this sector.
  • DrScience: @champ $X $AA I'm guessing a tariff will help your side business. With market manipulation of the price of AL in the US, it will put pressure on the recycled AL markets as well. Those cans on the roadside will be worth more per pound. #FlakeNews https://tinyurl.com/cas2xvq
  • bigbartabs: @champ $X $AA #Tariffs #Bloomberg #FlakeNews ... I tried some $XME at the 50dma yesterday. Suffice it to say, that was a quick sell.
  • champ: @DrScience $X $AA #FlakeNews ---- We know all of that and everyone has been posting that news. I have been only been posting the news for others. We need to post news, that help others make Profits in the markets.
  • champ: $X $AA $CENX ---- More #Tariff news after the close on Friday ...still moving these metal stocks around, along with others
  • woodman: @champ $X $AA $CENX #Tariff - I've collected several metal stocks for the tariff trade.
  • champ: @woodman $X $AA $CENX #Tariff ----- So have I....but now.... we know for sure... that $X is the group leader.....even with the zig-zags...and this is my largest position, I'm going to try... and add, at some point. This is a positive clue, that these are all really spring-loaded.....but the focus and the $$$$ are moving towards $X ....steel. Keep a eye on $EOG...in your $ERX sector
  • champ: $X $AA $CENX ---- Steel and Aluminum #Tariffs ---- These stocks are dropping this morning....and $CENX beat on earnings this morning. There was also news this morning on CNBC, in the PM... that the Defense Department said that they are in favor of A ...
  • spmeyers: @champ $X $AA $CENX #Tariffs #FlakeNews #Not #major #Aware #possible #after I like CENX here at the 50-day
  • champ: @spmeyers $X $AA $CENX #Tariffs --- I was on the earnings call and it was positive and earnings are picking -up with the economy. However, they did say that these new #Tariffs, in around about way, will be extremely positive...I believe these stocks will all double....and that could happen as soon as 60-90 days. These stocks should now have a floor under them, I guessing.
  • fishing777: @champ $X $AA $CENX #Tariffs #FlakeNews #Not #major #Aware #possible #after ...Assuming these tariffs are approved, the other side of the issue is the increased costs of these raw materials incurred by the companies that buys them which is much larger in scope than the solar industry. This is what is happening to solar panel installer businesses after the solar panel tariff. I probably will take a starter position in $CENX/$X however.
  • DrScience: @champ $X $AA #Tariffs Rather than call BS on everything aside from your stock price analysis, I'll just point you to what folks concerned about those directly affected by tariffs have to say: https://www.ntu.org/library/doclib/Steel-and-Aluminum-Coalition-Letter.pdf www.hartfordbusiness.com/article/20180201/NEWS02/302019975/india-is-hiking-tariffs-on-iphones-to-20% https://www.indystar.com/story/news/2018/01/25/effects-trump-solar-tariff-could-put-net-metering-back-table/1061173001/
  • Junior1: @DrScience $X $AA #Tariffs Good links Doc! Goes to show that so many decisions are knee-jerk, without considerations for even one derivative of the actions, never mind 2 or 3... idiots. "We got unexpected results"
  • champ: @DrScience $X $AA #Tariffs --- You saw what happened to the metal stock prices last Friday, 2/9 on that Tariff news, this is all that I'm posting about. Analysts are reporting that the same is going to happen again. Their are many other #opinions on ...
  • champ: @Junior1 $X $AA #Tariffs --- Tariffs could be coming soon, on Steel and Aluminum, they are only now discussing the % size, of what these new Tariffs should be. Then in early April the President, will decide to lower the recommendation on the % size of these Tariffs or to raise them or to reject the tariffs and to go against the recommendation of The Department of Defense and The Department of Commerce and do nothing at all. Its anyones guess but my guess is, that they will be doing Tariffs because they have been doing everything else.
  • woodman: $AA - not a good last earnings report, but with aluminum tariffs likely to come and basing after having pulled back, it's not a bad one to keep on your radar. It's collecting itself on rising weekly support now.
  • baronp0329: @champ $X $CENX - that's what I did too. sold all CENX this morning at 23.79 for a decent profit (bought at 21.23). Stopped out on $ATI for a small loss (bought at 27.12, sold at 26.50). Still at full position on $AA
  • champ: $X $AA $CENX ....#News is bouncing these stocks hard ...alerts are going off everywhere, this is the news that I have positing about that I was waiting for....tariff news on steel/Aluminum
  • baronp0329: @champ $X $AA $CENX #News - Great news! Thanks again @Champ for mentioning AA, CENX and $ATI. I already had full positions on X and $NUE from last week. They all look great.
  • Robert1965: @champ $X $AA $CENX #News Are taking profits on any Thanks for info last week
  • baronp0329: $X $AA $CENX $ATI $NUE #News - Selling 1/2 on X and NUE positions to lock in good gains. Gains are not as big on AA ATI and CENX will let those run longer.
  • champ: @Robert1965 $X $AA $CENX #News ---- No but I'm now watching and its too late to sell but I will be adding....to $AA because it fell back more than all the others and I don't really understand why the stock dropped, this much..over $2 but I'm guessing that this is at around a nice add-on entry level....traders bought and alone with other investors, they took profits off ...fast and I was looking the wrong way.....they were in and out really fast...and I understand because I do it all the time but I missed it...this is really a surprise on $AA but the markets dropped..
  • champ: $AA @ $47.30 ...#Spec add RHRN....with a safety stop and I still don't understand why the stock dropped and $CENX and $X are both still near or on their highs. Must have had to many Spec investors, in the stock but I have know clue on whats going.
  • champ: $AA...Aluminum...is up 2%
  • issues: @champ $AA $CENX $X #Spec Thank you Mr Champ. I bought CENX on your note and I am glad! Thank you!
  • baronp0329: @champ $AA - Champ, any explanations why $AA and $ATI are not up like $CENX... Bought 300 more shares of AAA at 47.75. No additional buys to ATI or CENX.
  • champ: $X $AA The President has until 4/11 to make a decision on steel tariffs and on Aluminum is on 4/19....He can either to accept Wibur Ross's proposals or modify them...or take no action at all.....they are testing the #Political wind for now, is really all they are doing...This is a Test...#testing-testing-testing.
  • champ: @baronp0329 $AA $ATI $CENX --- I can't find anything and I have been looking....#Anybody know whats going on....???
  • baronp0329: @champ $X $AA #Political #testing-testing-testing - Got it. Thanks Champ.,
  • Robert1965: @champ $X $AA #Political #testing-testing-testing Added to $X 42.78, looking to sell the add at the close
  • champ: @baronp0329 $X $AA #Political #testing-testing-testing --- That was on 4/24 and they missed on 1/17 but they are not going to miss next time.
  • baronp0329: @champ $X $AA #Political #testing-testing-testing - Yes, that's why I edited my reply to delete Earnings portion. It was my bad, I was reading an older post from Dr. Science.
  • champ: @Robert1965 $X $AA #Political #testing-testing-testing ---- This could move higher in the AH's but I would take 3/4th off for sure ....did you see $TQQQ...moved up in the AH's yesterday and also in PM this morning and the high was at $165.47.
  • champ: @Robert1965 $X $AA $TQQQ ---- No No No...you didn't sell to early... its smart to take profits....I was just pointing out, that this is a ETF that many sell in the AH's and buy for a swing the next morning, on news in the AH's....and $SSO
  • Robert1965: @champ $X $AA $TQQQ #Political #testing-testing-testing YES, Saw the move $TQQQ, in AH and in PM sold too early, also sold SSO in PM today, that looked until the high of 115.24 I just sold my todays add of $X at in at 42.78 out at 45.199, going to sell 1/2 $X at close, $cenx trying to sell at $24.44, or 1/2 at close
  • champ: @baronp0329 @success @ab3250 --- $X --- The first news broke @11:31 ET, (2:30) that I saw and that was on briefing.com and that was a stock Alert, then another post followed at 11:53 ET and 12:02 ET and those were on News alert on Tariffs but the Dep ...
  • champ: @Robert1965 $CENX $X $DE $MSFT $FAS ---I didn't sell any metal stocks today but I did add to $AA. However, I sold $AAPL, took profits today, had a nice move from 2/9.. of around $20 and I also sold $SSO....and sold 1/2 of $WYNN for profits but add ba ...
  • baronp0329: $AA $ATI $CENX - @champ, thanks again for the mention of these 3 stocks yesterday. Started with 1/2 positions yesterday on these 3 and all look good. any suggestions when or if I should add to full positions?
  • champ: @baronp0329 $AA $ATI $CENX --- Thats a hard question, maybe on the close if the markets close on or near HOD...for a swing on the add-on position.
  • baronp0329: @champ $AA $ATI $CENX - Cool. Got it. Thanks
  • champ: $AA and $CENX ---- On metal stocks we have to remember to look at Aluminum stocks. All metals are working because of the economy....$AA is now bounce off the recent low and I'm back-in and I'm also holding $CENX and $ATI.
  • issues: @champ $AA $CENX $ATI Champ. Thank you kind sir! I hold AA and added to ATI today. But after reading your many posts I have come to respect your opinion. I bought a 1/2 position in CENX. Thanks Big Guy! Happy golfing to you?
  • baronp0329: @champ $AA $CENX $ATI - Thanks Champ. Started 1/2 position on AA at 47.12.
  • DrScience: ...
    Plenty of good news in the report including share buybacks and early retirement of debt, but tax cut legislation hit the bottom line as well as asset sales and $AA separation-related charges.

    Full Year 2017 Highlights from the report:
    -- Revenu ...
  • issues: @champ $X $CENX $AA also!
  • DrScience: $AA reports after the bell. Expect $CENX and $ARNC to move in sympathy.
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Stock Price $USD 40.32
Change -2.98%
Volume 9,843,840

Alcoa Inc manufactures and engineers lightweight metals. It products include aluminum, titanium, and nickel, which are used in aircraft, automobiles, commercial transportation, packaging, oil and gas, defense and industrial applications, among others.

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